Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

NetEase, Inc. (9999.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$217.33 - $470.66$310.82
Multi-Stage$161.37 - $176.05$168.58
Blended Fair Value$239.70
Current Price$192.47
Upside24.54%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.78%18.87%3.482.492.091.091.332.750.451.010.790.46
YoY Growth--39.32%19.19%91.65%-18.04%-51.58%513.85%-55.79%27.94%73.45%-25.97%
Dividend Yield--2.36%1.78%1.73%0.94%1.00%2.32%0.40%0.98%0.69%0.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36,284.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13,232.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)23,051.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,256.864,535.542,721.32
Cash Retained (M)23,051.3323,051.3323,051.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,256.86-4,535.54-2,721.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)15,794.4718,515.7920,330.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,212.663,212.663,212.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.925.766.33
LTM Dividend per Share4.124.124.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.925.766.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.049.8810.45
WACC / Discount Rate9.89%9.89%9.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$217.33$310.82$470.66
Upside / Downside12.91%61.49%144.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36,284.3238,642.8041,154.5943,829.6346,678.5649,712.6751,204.05
Payout Ratio36.47%47.18%57.88%68.59%79.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13,232.9918,230.2123,821.1630,061.9237,013.3244,741.4047,363.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.89%9.89%9.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)16,434.3216,590.0916,745.87
Year 2 PV (M)19,359.0019,727.7320,099.95
Year 3 PV (M)22,024.0222,656.2523,300.46
Year 4 PV (M)24,445.4425,385.5426,352.50
Year 5 PV (M)26,638.4727,925.1229,261.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)409,515.32429,295.06449,831.82
Equity Value (M)518,416.56541,579.80565,591.61
Shares Outstanding (M)3,212.663,212.663,212.66
Fair Value$161.37$168.58$176.05
Upside / Downside-16.16%-12.41%-8.53%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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