Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Japan Transcity Corporation (9310.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,094.74 - $1,766.42$1,397.22
Multi-Stage$929.40 - $1,010.82$969.39
Blended Fair Value$1,183.31
Current Price$1,093.00
Upside8.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS18.33%9.91%23.6612.2411.2510.2210.2010.2010.2010.1910.6910.23
YoY Growth--93.37%8.77%10.12%0.16%0.00%0.00%0.16%-4.76%4.51%11.25%
Dividend Yield--2.17%1.18%1.81%2.08%1.90%2.02%2.12%1.89%2.35%3.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,041.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,449.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,592.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,208.20755.13453.08
Cash Retained (M)3,592.003,592.003,592.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,208.20-755.13-453.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,383.802,836.883,138.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)62.8462.8462.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share37.9445.1549.95
LTM Dividend per Share38.9738.9738.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share37.9445.1549.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend76.9184.1288.93
WACC / Discount Rate12.91%12.91%12.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,094.74$1,397.22$1,766.42
Upside / Downside0.16%27.83%61.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,041.006,433.676,851.857,297.227,771.548,276.698,524.99
Payout Ratio40.54%50.43%60.32%70.22%80.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,449.003,244.614,133.305,123.816,225.627,449.027,885.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.91%12.91%12.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,846.592,873.572,900.55
Year 2 PV (M)3,181.433,242.023,303.19
Year 3 PV (M)3,460.043,559.363,660.57
Year 4 PV (M)3,688.363,830.213,976.10
Year 5 PV (M)3,871.804,058.814,252.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)41,351.0943,348.3645,422.07
Equity Value (M)58,399.3060,912.3363,515.47
Shares Outstanding (M)62.8462.8462.84
Fair Value$929.40$969.39$1,010.82
Upside / Downside-14.97%-11.31%-7.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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