DDM Analysis: 6049.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$494.94 - $1,078.13	$1,010.37
Multi-Stage	$161.54 - $176.88	$169.06
Blended Fair Value	$589.72
Current Price	$30.24
Upside	1,850.12%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	28.11%	0.00%	1.00	0.51	0.31	0.43	0.30	0.29	0.38	0.00	0.10	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	98.41%	64.92%	-29.07%	43.33%	3.75%	-23.81%	0.00%	-100.00%	320.62%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.52%	1.94%	0.75%	0.87%	0.59%	0.70%	0.96%	0.00%	0.24%	0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,981.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	830.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,150.52

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	596.22	372.63	223.58
Cash Retained (M)	2,150.52	2,150.52	2,150.52
(-) Cash Required (M)	-596.22	-372.63	-223.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,554.31	1,777.89	1,926.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	549.90	549.90	549.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.83	3.23	3.50
LTM Dividend per Share	1.51	1.51	1.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.83	3.23	3.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.34	4.74	5.01
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$494.94	$1,010.37	$1,078.13
Upside / Downside	1,536.72%	3,241.16%	3,465.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,981.08	3,174.85	3,381.21	3,600.99	3,835.06	4,084.33	4,206.86
Payout Ratio	27.86%	40.29%	52.72%	65.14%	77.57%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	830.55	1,279.10	1,782.46	2,345.84	2,974.94	3,675.90	3,891.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,190.60	1,201.89	1,213.18
Year 2 PV (M)	1,544.34	1,573.75	1,603.45
Year 3 PV (M)	1,891.83	1,946.14	2,001.48
Year 4 PV (M)	2,233.18	2,319.06	2,407.40
Year 5 PV (M)	2,568.45	2,692.51	2,821.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)	79,399.54	83,234.56	87,216.37
Equity Value (M)	88,827.94	92,967.92	97,263.18
Shares Outstanding (M)	549.90	549.90	549.90
Fair Value	$161.54	$169.06	$176.88
Upside / Downside	434.18%	459.08%	484.91%

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023160.KQ	Tae Kwang Corporation	2.55%	$535.13	21.10%
3152.TWO	Advanced Ceramic X Corporation	2.55%	$3.66	36.41%
600415.SS	Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co., Ltd.	2.55%	$0.41	53.66%
601808.SS	China Oilfield Services Limited	2.55%	$0.36	43.75%
7606.T	United Arrows Ltd.	2.55%	$62.63	43.42%
CYRE3.SA	Cyrela Brazil Realty S.A. Empreendimentos e Participações	2.55%	$0.61	12.29%
JUNGH.SW	Jungheinrich AG	2.55%	$0.79	22.62%
RENT3.SA	Localiza Rent a Car S.A.	2.55%	$1.11	66.67%
002380.KS	KCC Corporation	2.54%	$10,000.23	6.25%
1527.HK	Zhejiang Tengy Environmental Technology Co., Ltd	2.54%	$0.05	4.95%
5212.KL	Pavilion Real Estate Investment Trust	2.54%	$0.05	39.63%
5489.TWO	DynaColor, Inc.	2.54%	$1.02	50.42%
600273.SS	Zhejiang Jiahua Energy Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd.	2.54%	$0.22	28.18%
600724.SS	Ningbo Fuda Company Limited	2.54%	$0.15	96.79%
7505.T	Fuso Dentsu Co., Ltd.	2.54%	$48.50	22.36%
8850.T	Starts Corporation Inc.	2.54%	$121.52	25.36%
BLAU3.SA	Blau Farmacêutica S.A.	2.54%	$0.35	19.81%
2367.HK	Giant Biogene Holding Co., Ltd.	2.53%	$0.87	22.55%
2701.TW	Wan Hwa Enterprise Company Ltd.	2.53%	$0.28	52.89%
600963.SS	Yueyang Forest & Paper Co., Ltd.	2.53%	$0.12	48.95%
603697.SS	YouYou Foods Co., Ltd.	2.53%	$0.31	63.16%
CK-R.BK	CH. Karnchang Public Company Limited	2.53%	$0.30	25.56%
SCHO.CO	Aktieselskabet Schouw & Co.	2.53%	$16.81	42.51%
003006.SZ	Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co., Ltd.	2.52%	$0.55	80.44%
5191.T	Sumitomo Riko Company Limited	2.52%	$66.01	23.54%
600406.SS	NARI Technology Co., Ltd.	2.52%	$0.57	56.63%
600909.SS	Huaan Securities Co., Ltd.	2.52%	$0.17	38.30%
603811.SS	Zhejiang Cheng Yi Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.	2.52%	$0.26	37.15%
BESALCO.SN	Besalco S.A.	2.52%	$30.59	34.76%
000019.SZ	Shenzhen Cereals Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.51%	$0.17	62.11%
094820.KQ	Iljin Power Co., Ltd.	2.51%	$320.01	48.44%
0QVR.L	Scandi Standard AB (publ)	2.51%	$2.49	52.58%
4041.T	Nippon Soda Co., Ltd.	2.51%	$90.77	32.02%
600056.SS	China Meheco Group Co., Ltd.	2.51%	$0.26	71.36%
605169.SS	Xinjiang Hongtong Natural Gas Co., Ltd.	2.51%	$0.33	91.06%
6691.TW	Yankey Engineering Co., Ltd.	2.51%	$13.92	62.80%
7483.T	Doshisha Co.,Ltd.	2.51%	$82.93	37.87%
GPSC-R.BK	Global Power Synergy Public Company Limited	2.51%	$0.90	51.48%
HOVE.CO	Hove A/S	2.51%	$0.14	34.71%
NOLA-B.ST	Nolato AB (publ)	2.51%	$1.50	51.20%
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100840.KS	SNT Energy Co., Ltd.	2.50%	$899.87	27.57%
138490.KS	Kolon Plastics, Inc.	2.50%	$200.40	17.45%
2612.T	Kadoya Sesame Mills Incorporated	2.50%	$99.85	34.73%
603112.SS	Shanxi Huaxiang Group Co., Ltd.	2.50%	$0.43	43.19%
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ISCTR.IS	Türkiye Is Bankasi A.S.	2.50%	$0.36	16.38%
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Poly Property Services Co., Ltd. (6049.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener