Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Qingdao Huijintong Power Equipment Co.,Ltd. (603577.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$65.75 - $77.47$72.60
Multi-Stage$24.91 - $27.30$26.08
Blended Fair Value$49.34
Current Price$9.28
Upside431.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.03%26.16%0.450.390.360.310.200.170.180.130.040.04
YoY Growth--13.88%10.58%13.44%55.85%21.54%-9.90%40.27%237.40%0.61%-12.01%
Dividend Yield--5.04%4.76%3.44%3.11%2.29%1.92%1.92%1.39%0.17%0.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)132.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)105.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)26.4216.519.91
Cash Retained (M)26.9226.9226.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-26.42-16.51-9.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.5010.4117.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)339.11339.11339.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate4.66%4.66%4.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$65.75$72.60$77.47
Upside / Downside608.55%682.32%734.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)132.10140.68149.83159.57169.94180.98186.41
Payout Ratio79.62%81.70%83.77%85.85%87.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)105.18114.93125.52136.99149.42162.88172.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.66%4.66%4.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)108.78109.81110.84
Year 2 PV (M)112.43114.58116.74
Year 3 PV (M)116.14119.47122.87
Year 4 PV (M)119.90124.51129.25
Year 5 PV (M)123.71129.68135.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,866.478,246.428,640.92
Equity Value (M)8,447.438,844.479,256.51
Shares Outstanding (M)339.11339.11339.11
Fair Value$24.91$26.08$27.30
Upside / Downside168.43%181.05%194.14%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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