Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Bank of Beijing Co., Ltd. (601169.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$34.39 - $121.48$56.96
Multi-Stage$29.94 - $32.75$31.32
Blended Fair Value$44.14
Current Price$5.51
Upside701.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.56%17.20%1.000.460.460.340.340.320.300.770.530.26
YoY Growth--115.23%0.71%36.18%-1.23%7.06%5.51%-60.74%44.53%103.78%28.44%
Dividend Yield--16.55%8.13%10.48%7.39%7.14%6.63%4.83%11.23%6.68%3.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)26,277.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16,951.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)9,326.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,255.403,284.631,970.78
Cash Retained (M)9,326.009,326.009,326.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,255.40-3,284.63-1,970.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,070.606,041.387,355.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21,185.0221,185.0221,185.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.290.35
LTM Dividend per Share0.800.800.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.290.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.991.091.15
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate4.03%5.03%6.03%
Fair Value$34.39$56.96$121.48
Upside / Downside524.20%933.68%2,104.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)26,277.0027,599.5428,988.6430,447.6531,980.1033,589.6834,597.37
Payout Ratio64.51%69.61%74.71%79.80%84.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16,951.0019,211.2421,656.0624,298.3127,151.6730,230.7132,002.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate4.03%5.03%6.03%
Year 1 PV (M)17,777.7517,948.6418,119.53
Year 2 PV (M)18,544.8118,903.0419,264.70
Year 3 PV (M)19,254.8719,815.4820,386.86
Year 4 PV (M)19,910.5320,687.1821,486.34
Year 5 PV (M)20,514.2721,519.3522,563.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)538,271.93564,644.32592,040.40
Equity Value (M)634,274.16663,518.02693,861.29
Shares Outstanding (M)21,185.0221,185.0221,185.02
Fair Value$29.94$31.32$32.75
Upside / Downside443.37%468.42%494.42%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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