DDM Analysis: 3311.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$351.02 - $761.11	$713.28
Multi-Stage	$114.29 - $125.14	$119.62
Blended Fair Value	$416.45
Current Price	$10.80
Upside	3,755.99%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	16.99%	13.22%	0.61	0.51	0.44	0.39	0.33	0.28	0.35	0.29	0.28	0.24
YoY Growth	-	-	19.42%	15.73%	14.10%	17.91%	17.86%	-20.00%	19.32%	5.54%	15.95%	35.19%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.98%	5.56%	5.04%	4.00%	7.43%	3.94%	5.60%	2.56%	2.39%	1.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	19,420.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5,692.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)	13,727.89

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,884.08	2,427.55	1,456.53
Cash Retained (M)	13,727.89	13,727.89	13,727.89
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,884.08	-2,427.55	-1,456.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)	9,843.81	11,300.34	12,271.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	5,074.44	5,074.44	5,074.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.94	2.23	2.42
LTM Dividend per Share	1.12	1.12	1.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.94	2.23	2.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.06	3.35	3.54
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$351.02	$713.28	$761.11
Upside / Downside	3,150.19%	6,504.41%	6,947.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	19,420.40	20,682.72	22,027.10	23,458.86	24,983.69	26,607.63	27,405.86
Payout Ratio	29.31%	41.45%	53.59%	65.72%	77.86%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5,692.51	8,572.91	11,803.71	15,418.29	19,452.90	23,946.87	25,350.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	7,980.07	8,055.71	8,131.36
Year 2 PV (M)	10,227.65	10,422.46	10,619.11
Year 3 PV (M)	12,435.77	12,792.76	13,156.51
Year 4 PV (M)	14,604.93	15,166.60	15,744.31
Year 5 PV (M)	16,735.65	17,543.99	18,383.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)	517,998.30	543,017.81	568,994.87
Equity Value (M)	579,982.38	606,999.33	635,029.43
Shares Outstanding (M)	5,074.44	5,074.44	5,074.44
Fair Value	$114.29	$119.62	$125.14
Upside / Downside	958.29%	1,007.58%	1,058.73%

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China State Construction International Holdings Limited (3311.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener