DDM Analysis: 0R9H.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$21.10 - $83.73	$57.32
Multi-Stage	$10.06 - $11.01	$10.52
Blended Fair Value	$33.92
Current Price	$1.75
Upside	1,838.30%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-5.68%	22.19%	0.07	0.06	0.07	0.17	0.00	0.09	0.09	0.08	0.05	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	0.15%	-9.57%	-58.54%	0.00%	-100.00%	1.17%	13.15%	43.44%	116.08%	180.11%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.09%	4.03%	5.88%	14.19%	0.00%	5.73%	5.66%	2.94%	1.89%	0.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	33.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5.22
(=) Cash Retained (M)	28.60

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	6.77	4.23	2.54
Cash Retained (M)	28.60	28.60	28.60
(-) Cash Required (M)	-6.77	-4.23	-2.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)	21.84	24.38	26.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	80.34	80.34	80.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.30	0.32
LTM Dividend per Share	0.07	0.07	0.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.30	0.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.34	0.37	0.39
WACC / Discount Rate	7.18%	7.18%	7.18%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$21.10	$57.32	$83.73
Upside / Downside	1,105.44%	3,175.30%	4,684.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	33.83	36.03	38.37	40.86	43.52	46.35	47.74
Payout Ratio	15.44%	30.35%	45.27%	60.18%	75.09%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5.22	10.94	17.37	24.59	32.68	41.71	44.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.18%	7.18%	7.18%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	10.11	10.20	10.30
Year 2 PV (M)	14.83	15.12	15.40
Year 3 PV (M)	19.41	19.97	20.54
Year 4 PV (M)	23.84	24.76	25.70
Year 5 PV (M)	28.13	29.49	30.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)	711.56	745.93	781.61
Equity Value (M)	807.88	845.46	884.45
Shares Outstanding (M)	80.34	80.34	80.34
Fair Value	$10.06	$10.52	$11.01
Upside / Downside	474.58%	501.31%	529.04%

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Banca Sistema S.p.A. (0R9H.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener