DDM Analysis: 0220.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$38.22 - $179.29	$84.79
Multi-Stage	$25.81 - $28.21	$26.99
Blended Fair Value	$55.89
Current Price	$8.67
Upside	544.66%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	12.33%	26.17%	0.43	0.34	0.42	0.38	0.32	0.24	0.14	0.03	0.04	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	27.28%	-18.61%	11.41%	18.50%	30.79%	68.99%	416.88%	-28.72%	194.32%	-68.82%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.91%	6.76%	6.06%	6.10%	4.77%	3.32%	2.40%	0.51%	0.79%	0.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,926.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3,723.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)	202.94

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	785.26	490.78	294.47
Cash Retained (M)	202.94	202.94	202.94
(-) Cash Required (M)	-785.26	-490.78	-294.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-582.31	-287.84	-91.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4,319.33	4,319.33	4,319.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.13	-0.07	-0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	0.86	0.86	0.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.13	-0.07	-0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.73	0.80	0.84
WACC / Discount Rate	6.61%	6.61%	6.61%
Growth Rate	4.61%	5.61%	6.61%
Fair Value	$38.22	$84.79	$179.29
Upside / Downside	340.78%	878.01%	1,967.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,926.28	4,146.72	4,379.54	4,625.43	4,885.13	5,159.40	5,314.18
Payout Ratio	94.83%	93.86%	92.90%	91.93%	90.97%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3,723.33	3,892.31	4,068.53	4,252.27	4,443.81	4,643.46	4,915.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.61%	6.61%	6.61%
Growth Rate	4.61%	5.61%	6.61%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,616.58	3,651.15	3,685.72
Year 2 PV (M)	3,512.51	3,579.98	3,648.10
Year 3 PV (M)	3,411.07	3,509.83	3,610.47
Year 4 PV (M)	3,312.19	3,440.66	3,572.84
Year 5 PV (M)	3,215.82	3,372.48	3,535.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)	94,427.31	99,027.52	103,805.31
Equity Value (M)	111,495.48	116,581.63	121,857.63
Shares Outstanding (M)	4,319.33	4,319.33	4,319.33
Fair Value	$25.81	$26.99	$28.21
Upside / Downside	197.73%	211.31%	225.40%

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Uni-President China Holdings Ltd (0220.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener