DDM Analysis: 0066.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$82.87 - $182.72	$119.28
Multi-Stage	$115.89 - $127.00	$121.34
Blended Fair Value	$120.31
Current Price	$28.20
Upside	326.63%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	3.63%	4.86%	1.28	1.22	1.38	1.15	1.09	1.07	0.21	2.47	2.98	0.92
YoY Growth	-	-	4.62%	-11.29%	19.50%	5.24%	2.39%	419.05%	-91.66%	-17.02%	221.99%	16.26%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.72%	4.09%	3.33%	2.75%	2.53%	2.32%	0.50%	5.39%	7.90%	2.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	27,111.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	21,082.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6,029.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	5,422.20	3,388.88	2,033.33
Cash Retained (M)	6,029.00	6,029.00	6,029.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-5,422.20	-3,388.88	-2,033.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)	606.80	2,640.13	3,995.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6,218.00	6,218.00	6,218.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.42	0.64
LTM Dividend per Share	3.39	3.39	3.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.42	0.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.49	3.82	4.03
WACC / Discount Rate	6.40%	6.40%	6.40%
Growth Rate	2.10%	3.10%	4.10%
Fair Value	$82.87	$119.28	$182.72
Upside / Downside	193.85%	322.96%	547.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	27,111.00	27,951.27	28,817.58	29,710.73	30,631.58	31,580.96	32,528.39
Payout Ratio	77.76%	80.21%	82.66%	85.10%	87.55%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	21,082.00	22,419.55	23,819.77	25,285.24	26,818.67	28,422.86	30,088.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.40%	6.40%	6.40%
Growth Rate	2.10%	3.10%	4.10%
Year 1 PV (M)	20,867.22	21,071.60	21,275.98
Year 2 PV (M)	20,635.39	21,041.59	21,451.75
Year 3 PV (M)	20,388.24	20,993.20	21,610.01
Year 4 PV (M)	20,127.39	20,927.59	21,751.42
Year 5 PV (M)	19,854.35	20,845.89	21,876.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)	618,719.29	649,618.53	681,740.12
Equity Value (M)	720,591.87	754,498.39	789,705.93
Shares Outstanding (M)	6,218.00	6,218.00	6,218.00
Fair Value	$115.89	$121.34	$127.00
Upside / Downside	310.95%	330.29%	350.37%

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601808.SS	China Oilfield Services Limited	2.55%	$0.36	43.75%
7606.T	United Arrows Ltd.	2.55%	$62.63	43.42%
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JUNGH.SW	Jungheinrich AG	2.55%	$0.79	22.62%
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5212.KL	Pavilion Real Estate Investment Trust	2.54%	$0.05	39.63%
5489.TWO	DynaColor, Inc.	2.54%	$1.02	50.42%
600273.SS	Zhejiang Jiahua Energy Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd.	2.54%	$0.22	28.18%
600724.SS	Ningbo Fuda Company Limited	2.54%	$0.15	96.79%
7505.T	Fuso Dentsu Co., Ltd.	2.54%	$48.50	22.36%
8850.T	Starts Corporation Inc.	2.54%	$121.52	25.36%
BLAU3.SA	Blau Farmacêutica S.A.	2.54%	$0.35	19.81%
2367.HK	Giant Biogene Holding Co., Ltd.	2.53%	$0.87	22.55%
2701.TW	Wan Hwa Enterprise Company Ltd.	2.53%	$0.28	52.89%
600963.SS	Yueyang Forest & Paper Co., Ltd.	2.53%	$0.12	48.95%
603697.SS	YouYou Foods Co., Ltd.	2.53%	$0.31	63.16%
CK-R.BK	CH. Karnchang Public Company Limited	2.53%	$0.30	25.56%
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5191.T	Sumitomo Riko Company Limited	2.52%	$66.01	23.54%
600406.SS	NARI Technology Co., Ltd.	2.52%	$0.57	56.63%
600909.SS	Huaan Securities Co., Ltd.	2.52%	$0.17	38.30%
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MTR Corporation Limited (0066.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener