Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Unisplendour Corporation Limited (000938.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$37.00 - $96.98$90.88
Multi-Stage$14.03 - $15.35$14.68
Blended Fair Value$52.78
Current Price$30.18
Upside74.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.72%27.58%0.320.060.160.150.190.190.140.070.020.03
YoY Growth--425.31%-62.85%10.91%-23.31%0.22%38.71%87.10%220.10%-27.79%14.45%
Dividend Yield--1.15%0.27%0.55%0.75%0.96%0.75%0.60%0.28%0.12%0.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,394.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)820.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)574.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)278.93174.33104.60
Cash Retained (M)574.50574.50574.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-278.93-174.33-104.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)295.56400.16469.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,860.072,860.072,860.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.140.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.140.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.390.430.45
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$37.00$90.88$96.98
Upside / Downside22.60%201.14%221.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,394.671,485.321,581.871,684.691,794.191,910.811,968.14
Payout Ratio58.81%65.05%71.28%77.52%83.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)820.17966.141,127.631,306.021,502.841,719.731,820.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)897.71906.22914.73
Year 2 PV (M)973.54992.091,010.81
Year 3 PV (M)1,047.701,077.771,108.42
Year 4 PV (M)1,120.201,163.281,207.59
Year 5 PV (M)1,191.071,248.601,308.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)34,905.0236,590.9438,341.39
Equity Value (M)40,135.2541,978.9143,891.27
Shares Outstanding (M)2,860.072,860.072,860.07
Fair Value$14.03$14.68$15.35
Upside / Downside-53.50%-51.37%-49.15%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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