Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Votum S.A. (VOT.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,198.87 - $2,680.91$2,512.41
Multi-Stage$407.14 - $445.32$425.88
Blended Fair Value$1,469.14
Current Price$49.05
Upside2,895.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS70.49%18.94%2.922.540.410.350.000.200.020.690.471.00
YoY Growth--15.27%512.76%17.14%13,900.00%-98.76%1,032.86%-97.40%46.55%-52.97%93.79%
Dividend Yield--9.01%5.54%0.91%2.14%0.01%2.22%0.26%7.74%4.75%7.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)160.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)95.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)64.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32.0620.0412.02
Cash Retained (M)64.4064.4064.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-32.06-20.04-12.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.3444.3652.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.8911.8911.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.723.734.40
LTM Dividend per Share8.068.068.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.723.734.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.7811.8012.47
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,198.87$2,512.41$2,680.91
Upside / Downside2,344.19%5,022.14%5,365.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)160.31170.73181.83193.65206.23219.64226.23
Payout Ratio59.83%65.86%71.90%77.93%83.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)95.91112.44130.73150.91173.16197.67209.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)104.64105.63106.62
Year 2 PV (M)113.21115.37117.54
Year 3 PV (M)121.62125.11128.67
Year 4 PV (M)129.87134.86140.00
Year 5 PV (M)137.96144.62151.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,234.444,438.974,651.32
Equity Value (M)4,841.745,064.565,295.70
Shares Outstanding (M)11.8911.8911.89
Fair Value$407.14$425.88$445.32
Upside / Downside730.05%768.25%807.88%

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