Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Thai Mitsuwa Public Company Limited (TMW.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,136.75 - $2,641.30$2,475.28
Multi-Stage$388.23 - $425.08$406.32
Blended Fair Value$1,440.80
Current Price$52.25
Upside2,657.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.19%13.21%4.151.700.900.461.782.802.551.321.051.00
YoY Growth--144.12%88.89%95.65%-74.16%-36.43%9.80%93.18%25.71%5.00%-16.67%
Dividend Yield--8.35%2.78%2.37%1.33%4.78%7.47%3.97%2.04%2.52%3.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)529.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)144.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)385.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)105.9266.2039.72
Cash Retained (M)385.57385.57385.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-105.92-66.20-39.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)279.65319.37345.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.8839.8839.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.018.018.67
LTM Dividend per Share3.613.613.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.018.018.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.6211.6212.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,136.75$2,475.28$2,641.30
Upside / Downside2,075.59%4,637.38%4,955.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)529.61564.04600.70639.74681.33725.61747.38
Payout Ratio27.20%39.76%52.32%64.88%77.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)144.04224.25314.28415.06527.62653.05691.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)208.61210.59212.57
Year 2 PV (M)271.98277.16282.39
Year 3 PV (M)334.15343.74353.51
Year 4 PV (M)395.15410.34425.97
Year 5 PV (M)454.99476.96499.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,816.4414,483.7815,176.65
Equity Value (M)15,481.3016,202.5616,950.87
Shares Outstanding (M)39.8839.8839.88
Fair Value$388.23$406.32$425.08
Upside / Downside643.02%677.64%713.55%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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