Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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R&B Food Supply Public Company Limited (RBF.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.63 - $42.26$22.94
Multi-Stage$6.54 - $7.15$6.84
Blended Fair Value$14.89
Current Price$3.96
Upside276.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.31%0.00%0.170.100.150.150.150.120.710.000.000.00
YoY Growth--69.78%-31.56%0.41%0.00%21.95%-82.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.89%0.88%1.30%0.92%0.82%3.33%21.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)433.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)352.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)80.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)86.6754.1732.50
Cash Retained (M)80.7380.7380.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-86.67-54.17-32.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)-5.9426.5648.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,019.442,019.442,019.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.190.20
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate4.45%5.45%6.45%
Fair Value$9.63$22.94$42.26
Upside / Downside143.06%479.39%967.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)433.37456.98481.87508.12535.79564.98581.93
Payout Ratio81.37%83.10%84.82%86.55%88.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)352.64379.73408.73439.77472.97508.48538.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate4.45%5.45%6.45%
Year 1 PV (M)353.81357.20360.58
Year 2 PV (M)354.83361.65368.55
Year 3 PV (M)355.70366.02376.53
Year 4 PV (M)356.44370.29384.53
Year 5 PV (M)357.04374.46392.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,419.3911,976.6212,555.39
Equity Value (M)13,197.2013,806.2314,438.14
Shares Outstanding (M)2,019.442,019.442,019.44
Fair Value$6.54$6.84$7.15
Upside / Downside65.03%72.64%80.54%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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