Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Prodigy Public Company Limited (PDG.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.32 - $3.46$2.86
Multi-Stage$6.13 - $6.75$6.43
Blended Fair Value$4.65
Current Price$2.78
Upside67.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.26%3.73%0.170.060.150.290.180.180.200.230.200.16
YoY Growth--182.99%-60.73%-47.02%60.36%-0.62%-9.46%-12.22%13.64%22.22%39.26%
Dividend Yield--6.37%2.40%4.68%7.76%5.25%7.82%7.74%6.73%4.94%4.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)85.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)77.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.0610.666.40
Cash Retained (M)8.238.238.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.06-10.66-6.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)-8.83-2.431.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)296.88296.88296.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.03-0.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.03-0.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.250.27
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-3.26%-2.26%-1.26%
Fair Value$2.32$2.86$3.46
Upside / Downside-16.51%3.01%24.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)85.3283.3981.5079.6577.8576.0878.37
Payout Ratio90.35%90.28%90.21%90.14%90.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)77.0875.2873.5271.8070.1268.4872.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-3.26%-2.26%-1.26%
Year 1 PV (M)70.0870.8171.53
Year 2 PV (M)63.7265.0466.38
Year 3 PV (M)57.9359.7461.60
Year 4 PV (M)52.6754.8857.16
Year 5 PV (M)47.8850.4153.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,528.151,608.791,692.79
Equity Value (M)1,820.431,909.672,002.50
Shares Outstanding (M)296.88296.88296.88
Fair Value$6.13$6.43$6.75
Upside / Downside120.57%131.39%142.64%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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