Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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USU Software AG (OSP2.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.49 - $113.52$76.98
Multi-Stage$14.45 - $15.77$15.10
Blended Fair Value$46.04
Current Price$16.65
Upside176.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS5.50%7.65%0.520.500.400.400.400.400.400.350.300.25
YoY Growth--4.52%25.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%14.28%16.66%19.99%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.14%2.21%1.77%1.43%3.17%2.77%1.82%1.64%1.78%1.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.200.750.45
Cash Retained (M)0.510.510.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.20-0.75-0.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.69-0.240.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.5210.5210.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.020.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.520.520.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.020.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.500.53
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$28.49$76.98$113.52
Upside / Downside71.11%362.33%581.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6.016.406.817.267.738.238.48
Payout Ratio91.56%91.25%90.94%90.62%90.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.505.846.206.586.987.417.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5.395.455.50
Year 2 PV (M)5.295.395.49
Year 3 PV (M)5.195.345.49
Year 4 PV (M)5.095.295.49
Year 5 PV (M)4.995.235.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)126.12132.21138.54
Equity Value (M)152.08158.91165.99
Shares Outstanding (M)10.5210.5210.52
Fair Value$14.45$15.10$15.77
Upside / Downside-13.21%-9.31%-5.27%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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