Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

The New York Times Company (NYT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: PublishingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$63.78 - $286.16$111.54
Multi-Stage$39.22 - $42.87$41.01
Blended Fair Value$76.28
Current Price$55.98
Upside36.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.26%12.79%0.500.420.340.270.230.190.160.160.160.16
YoY Growth--19.28%22.32%25.26%17.95%21.62%19.63%1.59%0.41%-2.64%7.00%
Dividend Yield--1.01%0.98%0.89%0.58%0.48%0.60%0.48%0.67%1.10%1.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)337.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)102.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)235.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)67.5742.2325.34
Cash Retained (M)235.44235.44235.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-67.57-42.23-25.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)167.87193.21210.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)164.86164.86164.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.021.171.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.620.620.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.021.171.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.641.791.90
WACC / Discount Rate8.21%8.21%8.21%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$63.78$111.54$286.16
Upside / Downside13.93%99.25%411.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)337.87359.83383.22408.13434.66462.91476.80
Payout Ratio30.32%42.25%54.19%66.13%78.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)102.43152.04207.66269.88339.31416.62441.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.21%8.21%8.21%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)139.18140.50141.82
Year 2 PV (M)174.03177.34180.69
Year 3 PV (M)207.04212.98219.04
Year 4 PV (M)238.29247.45256.88
Year 5 PV (M)267.84280.77294.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,439.925,702.675,975.48
Equity Value (M)6,466.296,761.727,068.10
Shares Outstanding (M)164.86164.86164.86
Fair Value$39.22$41.01$42.87
Upside / Downside-29.94%-26.73%-23.41%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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