Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

New England Realty Associates Limited Partnership (NEN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$131.45 - $649.96$277.38
Multi-Stage$108.57 - $118.91$113.64
Blended Fair Value$195.51
Current Price$71.50
Upside173.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.002.641.331.331.341.282.281.921.08
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%98.32%-0.06%-0.45%4.89%-43.93%18.67%77.76%-1.88%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%3.62%1.66%2.41%2.85%1.93%3.25%2.78%2.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.331.450.87
Cash Retained (M)3.123.123.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.33-1.45-0.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.791.662.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.513.513.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.470.64
LTM Dividend per Share2.432.432.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.470.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.652.903.07
WACC / Discount Rate5.99%5.99%5.99%
Growth Rate3.90%4.90%5.90%
Fair Value$131.45$277.38$649.96
Upside / Downside83.85%287.95%809.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11.6412.2112.8113.4314.0914.7815.22
Payout Ratio73.23%76.58%79.94%83.29%86.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.529.3510.2411.1912.2113.3014.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.99%5.99%5.99%
Growth Rate3.90%4.90%5.90%
Year 1 PV (M)8.748.828.91
Year 2 PV (M)8.949.119.29
Year 3 PV (M)9.139.409.67
Year 4 PV (M)9.319.6710.05
Year 5 PV (M)9.489.9410.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)335.29351.74368.83
Equity Value (M)380.89398.69417.17
Shares Outstanding (M)3.513.513.51
Fair Value$108.57$113.64$118.91
Upside / Downside51.84%58.94%66.30%

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