Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. (MOFG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$76.88 - $257.78$125.63
Multi-Stage$50.05 - $54.68$52.32
Blended Fair Value$88.97
Current Price$28.29
Upside214.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.54%12.99%0.790.730.710.690.680.550.460.390.350.30
YoY Growth--8.50%2.33%4.12%0.75%23.52%20.36%18.29%10.17%15.34%30.32%
Dividend Yield--2.68%3.20%2.93%2.07%2.20%2.63%1.60%1.16%1.03%1.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)58.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)39.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.697.314.38
Cash Retained (M)39.5039.5039.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.69-7.31-4.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.8132.1935.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.8220.8220.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.341.551.69
LTM Dividend per Share0.910.910.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.341.551.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.252.462.60
WACC / Discount Rate8.58%8.58%8.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$76.88$125.63$257.78
Upside / Downside171.75%344.07%811.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)58.4662.2666.3170.6275.2180.1082.50
Payout Ratio32.44%43.95%55.46%66.98%78.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.9627.3636.7847.3059.0372.0976.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.58%8.58%8.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)24.9625.2025.44
Year 2 PV (M)30.6131.1931.78
Year 3 PV (M)35.9136.9438.00
Year 4 PV (M)40.8942.4644.08
Year 5 PV (M)45.5647.7650.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)863.78905.50948.82
Equity Value (M)1,041.721,089.071,138.16
Shares Outstanding (M)20.8220.8220.82
Fair Value$50.05$52.32$54.68
Upside / Downside76.90%84.94%93.28%

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