Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $3,245.15 - $15,033.91 | $7,294.80 |
| Multi-Stage | $2,466.58 - $2,703.31 | $2,582.74 |
| Blended Fair Value | $4,938.77 | |
| Current Price | $1,130.00 | |
| Upside | 337.06% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 3.31% | 6.05% | 31.45 | 38.55 | 35.78 | 28.79 | 26.73 | 26.73 | 25.70 | 22.62 | 19.53 | 19.53 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -18.42% | 7.75% | 24.30% | 7.69% | 0.00% | 4.00% | 13.64% | 15.79% | 0.00% | 11.76% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 2.77% | 2.63% | 1.70% | 1.79% | 1.70% | 2.23% | 1.72% | 1.51% | 1.27% | 1.35% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 3,493,602.86 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 1,635,802.50 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,857,800.36 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 698,720.57 | 436,700.36 | 262,020.21 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,857,800.36 | 1,857,800.36 | 1,857,800.36 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -698,720.57 | -436,700.36 | -262,020.21 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1,159,079.78 | 1,421,100.00 | 1,595,780.14 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 45,591.84 | 45,591.84 | 45,591.84 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 25.42 | 31.17 | 35.00 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 35.88 | 35.88 | 35.88 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 25.42 | 31.17 | 35.00 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 61.30 | 67.05 | 70.88 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.02% | 6.02% | 6.02% |
| Growth Rate | 4.05% | 5.05% | 6.05% |
| Fair Value | $3,245.15 | $7,294.80 | $15,033.91 |
| Upside / Downside | 187.18% | 545.56% | 1,230.43% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 3,493,602.86 | 3,670,055.38 | 3,855,420.05 | 4,050,146.99 | 4,254,709.06 | 4,469,603.02 | 4,603,691.11 |
| Payout Ratio | 46.82% | 55.46% | 64.09% | 72.73% | 81.36% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 1,635,802.50 | 2,035,347.97 | 2,471,080.47 | 2,945,636.18 | 3,461,825.27 | 4,022,642.72 | 4,258,414.28 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.02% | 6.02% | 6.02% |
| Growth Rate | 4.05% | 5.05% | 6.05% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 1,901,569.08 | 1,919,844.49 | 1,938,119.89 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 2,156,918.65 | 2,198,576.86 | 2,240,633.51 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 2,402,146.12 | 2,472,072.77 | 2,543,343.47 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 2,637,539.05 | 2,740,404.50 | 2,846,249.86 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 2,863,377.82 | 3,003,643.40 | 3,149,352.76 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 100,494,305.84 | 105,417,125.61 | 110,531,002.25 |
| Equity Value (M) | 112,455,856.57 | 117,751,667.63 | 123,248,701.75 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 45,591.84 | 45,591.84 | 45,591.84 |
| Fair Value | $2,466.58 | $2,582.74 | $2,703.31 |
| Upside / Downside | 118.28% | 128.56% | 139.23% |
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| 265520.KQ | Advanced Process Systems Corporation | 2.68% | $538.10 | 30.22% |
| 300896.SZ | Imeik Technology Development Co.,Ltd. | 2.68% | $3.80 | 78.17% |
| 3123.T | Saibo Co., Ltd. | 2.68% | $16.14 | 26.87% |
| 9057.T | Enshu Truck Co.,Ltd. | 2.68% | $96.08 | 31.06% |
| CHC.AX | Charter Hall Group | 2.68% | $0.65 | 53.83% |
| IFT.AX | Infratil Limited | 2.68% | $0.26 | 47.86% |
| KRZ.IR | Kerry Group plc | 2.68% | $2.04 | 27.68% |
| MGH.AX | MAAS Group Holdings Limited | 2.68% | $0.15 | 37.02% |
| NOA | North American Construction Group Ltd. | 2.68% | $0.39 | 32.95% |
| U06.SI | Singapore Land Group Limited | 2.68% | $0.09 | 24.45% |
| 000089.SZ | Shenzhen Airport Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $0.19 | 65.57% |
| 000830.SZ | Luxi Chemical Group Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $0.44 | 57.18% |
| 005820.KS | Wonlim Corporation | 2.67% | $399.88 | 22.01% |
| 007980.KS | TP Inc. | 2.67% | $51.62 | 7.46% |
| 049800.KS | Woojin Plaimm Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $50.67 | 26.03% |
| 300009.SZ | Anhui Anke Biotechnology (Group) Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $0.26 | 62.51% |
| 6220.TWO | YFC-Boneagle Electric Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $0.69 | 89.25% |
| 002753.SZ | Shanxi Yongdong Chemistry Industry Co., Ltd. | 2.66% | $0.19 | 90.03% |
| 011200.KS | HMM Co.,Ltd | 2.66% | $537.67 | 22.84% |
| 014830.KS | UNID Company Ltd. | 2.66% | $1,782.26 | 16.95% |
| 023450.KS | Dongnam Chemical Co., Ltd. | 2.66% | $914.85 | 45.96% |
| 210540.KS | DY Power Corporation | 2.66% | $350.13 | 14.53% |
| 600729.SS | Chongqing Department Store Co.,Ltd. | 2.66% | $0.69 | 21.76% |
| 7282.T | Toyoda Gosei Co., Ltd. | 2.66% | $104.88 | 29.11% |
| 7989.T | Tachikawa Corporation | 2.66% | $52.44 | 33.02% |
| 9699.T | Nishio Rent All Co., Ltd. | 2.66% | $125.96 | 28.89% |
| 069730.KS | DSR Wire Corp | 2.65% | $99.93 | 6.22% |
| 118990.KQ | Motrex Co., Ltd | 2.65% | $249.25 | 35.67% |
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| 0DH7.L | AF Gruppen ASA | 2.64% | $4.97 | 52.35% |
| 1504.TW | TECO Electric & Machinery Co., Ltd. | 2.64% | $2.23 | 87.91% |
| 2587.T | Suntory Beverage & Food Limited | 2.64% | $125.00 | 45.12% |
| 6922.TWO | Neousys Technology Inc. | 2.64% | $4.54 | 61.30% |
| SHR.BK | S Hotels and Resorts Public Company Limited | 2.64% | $0.05 | 33.96% |
| 002871.SZ | Qingdao Weflo Valve Co., Ltd. | 2.63% | $0.47 | 79.89% |
| 600918.SS | Zhongtai Securities Co., Ltd. | 2.63% | $0.17 | 68.20% |
| 8572.T | Acom Co., Ltd. | 2.63% | $13.00 | 38.71% |
| LIAB.ST | Lindab International AB (publ) | 2.63% | $5.40 | 76.19% |
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| AFK.OL | Arendals Fossekompani ASA | 2.62% | $3.52 | 5.05% |
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