Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $29,945.43 - $57,030.03 | $53,445.49 |
| Multi-Stage | $8,978.94 - $9,825.87 | $9,394.63 |
| Blended Fair Value | $31,420.06 | |
| Current Price | $1,960.00 | |
| Upside | 1,503.06% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 5.11% | 22.64% | 70.43 | 49.97 | 62.35 | 42.05 | 22.22 | 54.89 | 99.41 | 46.09 | 20.61 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 40.95% | -19.86% | 48.29% | 89.22% | -59.52% | -44.78% | 115.70% | 123.66% | 0.00% | -100.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.50% | 4.22% | 5.54% | 2.55% | 1.16% | 5.78% | 5.63% | 3.11% | 1.33% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 3,334,388.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 1,632,874.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,701,514.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 666,877.60 | 416,798.50 | 250,079.10 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,701,514.00 | 1,701,514.00 | 1,701,514.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -666,877.60 | -416,798.50 | -250,079.10 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1,034,636.40 | 1,284,715.50 | 1,451,434.90 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 11,627.67 | 11,627.67 | 11,627.67 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 88.98 | 110.49 | 124.83 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 140.43 | 140.43 | 140.43 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 88.98 | 110.49 | 124.83 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 229.41 | 250.92 | 265.26 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.31% | 6.31% | 6.31% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $29,945.43 | $53,445.49 | $57,030.03 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,427.83% | 2,626.81% | 2,809.70% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 3,334,388.00 | 3,551,123.22 | 3,781,946.23 | 4,027,772.73 | 4,289,577.96 | 4,568,400.53 | 4,705,452.55 |
| Payout Ratio | 48.97% | 57.18% | 65.38% | 73.59% | 81.79% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 1,632,874.00 | 2,030,410.83 | 2,472,728.55 | 2,963,969.09 | 3,508,623.62 | 4,111,560.48 | 4,352,543.60 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.31% | 6.31% | 6.31% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 1,891,994.56 | 1,909,928.15 | 1,927,861.75 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 2,147,080.70 | 2,187,976.55 | 2,229,258.22 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 2,398,178.78 | 2,467,021.88 | 2,537,170.02 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 2,645,334.71 | 2,747,066.82 | 2,851,705.35 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 2,888,593.92 | 3,028,114.09 | 3,172,974.02 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 92,433,024.55 | 96,897,574.20 | 101,532,992.67 |
| Equity Value (M) | 104,404,207.22 | 109,237,681.69 | 114,251,962.02 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 11,627.67 | 11,627.67 | 11,627.67 |
| Fair Value | $8,978.94 | $9,394.63 | $9,825.87 |
| Upside / Downside | 358.11% | 379.32% | 401.32% |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 265520.KQ | Advanced Process Systems Corporation | 2.68% | $538.10 | 30.22% |
| 300896.SZ | Imeik Technology Development Co.,Ltd. | 2.68% | $3.80 | 78.17% |
| 3123.T | Saibo Co., Ltd. | 2.68% | $16.14 | 26.87% |
| 9057.T | Enshu Truck Co.,Ltd. | 2.68% | $96.08 | 31.06% |
| CHC.AX | Charter Hall Group | 2.68% | $0.65 | 53.83% |
| IFT.AX | Infratil Limited | 2.68% | $0.26 | 47.86% |
| KRZ.IR | Kerry Group plc | 2.68% | $2.04 | 27.68% |
| MGH.AX | MAAS Group Holdings Limited | 2.68% | $0.15 | 37.02% |
| NOA | North American Construction Group Ltd. | 2.68% | $0.39 | 32.95% |
| U06.SI | Singapore Land Group Limited | 2.68% | $0.09 | 24.45% |
| 000089.SZ | Shenzhen Airport Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $0.19 | 65.57% |
| 000830.SZ | Luxi Chemical Group Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $0.44 | 57.18% |
| 005820.KS | Wonlim Corporation | 2.67% | $399.88 | 22.01% |
| 007980.KS | TP Inc. | 2.67% | $51.62 | 7.46% |
| 049800.KS | Woojin Plaimm Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $50.67 | 26.03% |
| 300009.SZ | Anhui Anke Biotechnology (Group) Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $0.26 | 62.51% |
| 6220.TWO | YFC-Boneagle Electric Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $0.69 | 89.25% |
| 002753.SZ | Shanxi Yongdong Chemistry Industry Co., Ltd. | 2.66% | $0.19 | 90.03% |
| 011200.KS | HMM Co.,Ltd | 2.66% | $537.67 | 22.84% |
| 014830.KS | UNID Company Ltd. | 2.66% | $1,782.26 | 16.95% |
| 023450.KS | Dongnam Chemical Co., Ltd. | 2.66% | $914.85 | 45.96% |
| 210540.KS | DY Power Corporation | 2.66% | $350.13 | 14.53% |
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| 7282.T | Toyoda Gosei Co., Ltd. | 2.66% | $104.88 | 29.11% |
| 7989.T | Tachikawa Corporation | 2.66% | $52.44 | 33.02% |
| 9699.T | Nishio Rent All Co., Ltd. | 2.66% | $125.96 | 28.89% |
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| 118990.KQ | Motrex Co., Ltd | 2.65% | $249.25 | 35.67% |
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| 0DH7.L | AF Gruppen ASA | 2.64% | $4.97 | 52.35% |
| 1504.TW | TECO Electric & Machinery Co., Ltd. | 2.64% | $2.23 | 87.91% |
| 2587.T | Suntory Beverage & Food Limited | 2.64% | $125.00 | 45.12% |
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| SHR.BK | S Hotels and Resorts Public Company Limited | 2.64% | $0.05 | 33.96% |
| 002871.SZ | Qingdao Weflo Valve Co., Ltd. | 2.63% | $0.47 | 79.89% |
| 600918.SS | Zhongtai Securities Co., Ltd. | 2.63% | $0.17 | 68.20% |
| 8572.T | Acom Co., Ltd. | 2.63% | $13.00 | 38.71% |
| LIAB.ST | Lindab International AB (publ) | 2.63% | $5.40 | 76.19% |
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| AFK.OL | Arendals Fossekompani ASA | 2.62% | $3.52 | 5.05% |
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