Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana (HFBL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$86.27 - $291.05$272.73
Multi-Stage$51.45 - $56.41$53.88
Blended Fair Value$163.31
Current Price$13.77
Upside1,085.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.36%10.27%0.530.510.500.440.360.370.340.300.230.21
YoY Growth--3.82%2.55%13.08%20.59%-1.75%8.66%13.74%31.06%6.82%7.67%
Dividend Yield--3.85%4.05%3.43%2.35%1.95%3.22%2.09%1.76%1.72%1.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.910.570.34
Cash Retained (M)2.912.912.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.91-0.57-0.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.002.342.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.073.073.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.650.760.84
LTM Dividend per Share0.530.530.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.650.760.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.181.291.37
WACC / Discount Rate5.82%5.82%5.82%
Growth Rate4.39%5.39%6.39%
Fair Value$86.27$272.73$291.05
Upside / Downside526.49%1,880.63%2,013.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.554.795.055.325.615.916.09
Payout Ratio35.96%46.77%57.57%68.38%79.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.642.242.913.644.445.325.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.82%5.82%5.82%
Growth Rate4.39%5.39%6.39%
Year 1 PV (M)2.102.122.14
Year 2 PV (M)2.552.602.65
Year 3 PV (M)2.983.073.16
Year 4 PV (M)3.413.543.68
Year 5 PV (M)3.824.014.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)143.35150.35157.62
Equity Value (M)158.22165.69173.45
Shares Outstanding (M)3.073.073.07
Fair Value$51.45$53.88$56.41
Upside / Downside273.67%291.32%309.64%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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