Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Haw Par Corporation Limited (H02.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - GeneralSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$50.47 - $135.41$77.44
Multi-Stage$61.95 - $67.86$64.85
Blended Fair Value$71.15
Current Price$11.98
Upside493.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-19.02%7.30%0.400.350.300.300.301.150.250.200.390.20
YoY Growth--14.29%16.67%0.05%0.03%-73.90%360.71%25.43%-48.55%95.12%0.08%
Dividend Yield--3.59%3.55%3.13%2.64%2.80%8.98%2.07%1.74%4.25%2.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)484.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)398.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)86.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)96.9760.6136.36
Cash Retained (M)86.3886.3886.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-96.97-60.61-36.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)-10.5925.7850.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)221.35221.35221.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.050.120.23
LTM Dividend per Share1.801.801.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.050.120.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.751.922.03
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate2.73%3.73%4.73%
Fair Value$50.47$77.44$135.41
Upside / Downside321.25%546.45%1,030.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)484.85502.93521.69541.15561.33582.27599.74
Payout Ratio82.18%83.75%85.31%86.87%88.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)398.46421.19445.05470.11496.42524.04554.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate2.73%3.73%4.73%
Year 1 PV (M)392.42396.24400.06
Year 2 PV (M)386.33393.89401.52
Year 3 PV (M)380.20391.42402.85
Year 4 PV (M)374.06388.84404.05
Year 5 PV (M)367.90386.15405.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,812.4012,398.6213,007.90
Equity Value (M)13,713.3014,355.1515,021.49
Shares Outstanding (M)221.35221.35221.35
Fair Value$61.95$64.85$67.86
Upside / Downside417.14%441.34%466.47%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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