Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Eregli Demir ve Çelik Fabrikalari T.A.S. (EREGL.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.53 - $52.92$28.97
Multi-Stage$12.57 - $13.72$13.14
Blended Fair Value$21.05
Current Price$29.40
Upside-28.39%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-18.53%8.24%0.260.002.311.000.120.720.440.220.150.20
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%130.35%736.64%-83.31%64.21%101.73%40.75%-22.72%70.73%
Dividend Yield--1.14%0.00%13.08%6.20%1.57%19.15%9.72%4.15%5.23%9.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,077.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,717.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,360.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,015.60634.75380.85
Cash Retained (M)3,360.513,360.513,360.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,015.60-634.75-380.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,344.922,725.772,979.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,790.956,790.956,790.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.350.400.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.350.400.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.600.650.69
WACC / Discount Rate8.90%8.90%8.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18.53$28.97$52.92
Upside / Downside-36.96%-1.45%80.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,077.985,408.055,759.576,133.946,532.656,957.277,165.99
Payout Ratio33.82%45.06%56.29%67.53%78.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,717.472,436.733,242.244,142.175,145.406,261.546,628.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.90%8.90%8.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,216.472,237.482,258.49
Year 2 PV (M)2,682.602,733.692,785.27
Year 3 PV (M)3,117.413,206.903,298.08
Year 4 PV (M)3,522.413,657.873,797.20
Year 5 PV (M)3,899.044,087.364,282.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)69,899.7973,275.9876,781.38
Equity Value (M)85,337.7289,199.2993,203.32
Shares Outstanding (M)6,790.956,790.956,790.95
Fair Value$12.57$13.14$13.72
Upside / Downside-57.26%-55.32%-53.32%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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