Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Dividend Growth Split Corp. (DGS.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$212.56 - $814.89$609.05
Multi-Stage$100.42 - $109.88$105.06
Blended Fair Value$357.06
Current Price$6.94
Upside5,044.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.65%12.74%1.160.321.040.700.220.560.820.760.590.53
YoY Growth--260.38%-69.26%49.53%219.88%-60.95%-31.77%7.22%29.74%11.32%51.72%
Dividend Yield--16.83%6.30%18.19%10.25%6.42%10.60%22.69%9.50%7.52%7.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)184.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)130.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.8723.0413.83
Cash Retained (M)130.32130.32130.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.87-23.04-13.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)93.45107.28116.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)44.9944.9944.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.082.382.59
LTM Dividend per Share1.201.201.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.082.382.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.283.593.79
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$212.56$609.05$814.89
Upside / Downside2,962.89%8,675.98%11,641.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)184.34196.32209.08222.67237.14252.56260.13
Payout Ratio29.30%41.44%53.58%65.72%77.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.0281.36112.03146.34184.64227.30240.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)75.2375.9576.66
Year 2 PV (M)95.7997.6299.46
Year 3 PV (M)115.71119.03122.42
Year 4 PV (M)135.00140.20145.54
Year 5 PV (M)153.68161.11168.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,942.164,132.564,330.26
Equity Value (M)4,517.594,726.474,943.15
Shares Outstanding (M)44.9944.9944.99
Fair Value$100.42$105.06$109.88
Upside / Downside1,346.94%1,413.85%1,483.25%

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