Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Periods / Units / Analysis

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Commercial Metals Company (CMC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.69 - $12.15$9.73
Multi-Stage$10.05 - $10.95$10.49
Blended Fair Value$10.11
Current Price$57.67
Upside-82.47%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.37%3.83%0.720.690.660.600.510.500.500.490.490.49
YoY Growth--3.25%5.25%10.61%17.28%1.24%0.92%0.82%1.01%0.31%-1.08%
Dividend Yield--1.24%1.12%1.45%1.21%1.64%2.52%2.33%2.56%2.46%2.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)84.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)81.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.9310.586.35
Cash Retained (M)3.233.233.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.93-10.58-6.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)-13.70-7.35-3.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)113.71113.71113.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.12-0.06-0.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.720.720.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.12-0.06-0.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.600.650.69
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate1.83%2.83%3.83%
Fair Value$7.69$9.73$12.15
Upside / Downside-86.66%-83.13%-78.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)84.6687.0589.5192.0494.6497.32100.24
Payout Ratio96.19%94.95%93.71%92.47%91.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)81.4382.6683.8885.1286.3587.5992.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate1.83%2.83%3.83%
Year 1 PV (M)74.6175.3476.07
Year 2 PV (M)68.3469.6971.05
Year 3 PV (M)62.5964.4566.35
Year 4 PV (M)57.3159.6061.95
Year 5 PV (M)52.4755.1057.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)827.58869.02912.11
Equity Value (M)1,142.901,193.201,245.37
Shares Outstanding (M)113.71113.71113.71
Fair Value$10.05$10.49$10.95
Upside / Downside-82.57%-81.80%-81.01%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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