Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$125.46 - $320.49$189.60
Multi-Stage$85.11 - $93.07$89.02
Blended Fair Value$139.31
Current Price$97.01
Upside43.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.63%6.76%0.400.370.360.340.320.300.320.290.260.24
YoY Growth--7.75%4.23%4.84%5.98%5.41%-6.33%10.23%12.57%9.65%14.70%
Dividend Yield--0.36%0.30%0.28%0.31%0.28%0.59%0.72%0.72%0.99%0.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)403.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)372.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)80.6450.4030.24
Cash Retained (M)372.50372.50372.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-80.64-50.40-30.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)291.86322.10342.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)73.0873.0873.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.994.414.68
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.994.414.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.414.835.10
WACC / Discount Rate9.21%9.21%9.21%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$125.46$189.60$320.49
Upside / Downside29.32%95.44%230.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)403.20429.41457.32487.05518.70552.42568.99
Payout Ratio7.61%24.09%40.57%57.05%73.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.70103.45185.53277.84381.37497.18526.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.21%9.21%9.21%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)93.8394.7295.61
Year 2 PV (M)152.64155.55158.48
Year 3 PV (M)207.34213.30219.36
Year 4 PV (M)258.15268.08278.29
Year 5 PV (M)305.26320.01335.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,202.185,453.445,714.33
Equity Value (M)6,219.416,505.106,801.39
Shares Outstanding (M)73.0873.0873.08
Fair Value$85.11$89.02$93.07
Upside / Downside-12.27%-8.24%-4.06%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 59 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
QFBQ.QALesha Bank L.L.C2.69%$0.0532.62%
002442.SZLongxing Chemical Stock Co., Ltd.2.68%$0.1799.79%
016800.KSFursys Inc.2.68%$1,200.1730.47%
265520.KQAdvanced Process Systems Corporation2.68%$538.1030.22%
300896.SZImeik Technology Development Co.,Ltd.2.68%$3.8078.17%
3123.TSaibo Co., Ltd.2.68%$16.1426.87%
9057.TEnshu Truck Co.,Ltd.2.68%$96.0831.06%
CHC.AXCharter Hall Group2.68%$0.6553.83%
IFT.AXInfratil Limited2.68%$0.2647.86%
KRZ.IRKerry Group plc2.68%$2.0427.68%
MGH.AXMAAS Group Holdings Limited2.68%$0.1537.02%
NOANorth American Construction Group Ltd.2.68%$0.3932.95%
U06.SISingapore Land Group Limited2.68%$0.0924.45%
000089.SZShenzhen Airport Co., Ltd.2.67%$0.1965.57%
000830.SZLuxi Chemical Group Co., Ltd.2.67%$0.4457.18%
005820.KSWonlim Corporation2.67%$399.8822.01%
007980.KSTP Inc.2.67%$51.627.46%
049800.KSWoojin Plaimm Co., Ltd.2.67%$50.6726.03%
300009.SZAnhui Anke Biotechnology (Group) Co., Ltd.2.67%$0.2662.51%
6220.TWOYFC-Boneagle Electric Co., Ltd.2.67%$0.6989.25%
002753.SZShanxi Yongdong Chemistry Industry Co., Ltd.2.66%$0.1990.03%
011200.KSHMM Co.,Ltd2.66%$537.6722.84%
014830.KSUNID Company Ltd.2.66%$1,782.2616.95%
023450.KSDongnam Chemical Co., Ltd.2.66%$914.8545.96%
210540.KSDY Power Corporation2.66%$350.1314.53%
600729.SSChongqing Department Store Co.,Ltd.2.66%$0.6921.76%
7282.TToyoda Gosei Co., Ltd.2.66%$104.8829.11%
7989.TTachikawa Corporation2.66%$52.4433.02%
9699.TNishio Rent All Co., Ltd.2.66%$125.9628.89%
069730.KSDSR Wire Corp2.65%$99.936.22%
118990.KQMotrex Co., Ltd2.65%$249.2535.67%
OLGERD.ICÖlgerðin Egill Skallagrímsson hf.2.65%$0.4862.79%
084010.KSDaehan Steel Co., Ltd.2.64%$516.5429.55%
0DH7.LAF Gruppen ASA2.64%$4.9752.35%
1504.TWTECO Electric & Machinery Co., Ltd.2.64%$2.2387.91%
2587.TSuntory Beverage & Food Limited2.64%$125.0045.12%
6922.TWONeousys Technology Inc.2.64%$4.5461.30%
SHR.BKS Hotels and Resorts Public Company Limited2.64%$0.0533.96%
002871.SZQingdao Weflo Valve Co., Ltd.2.63%$0.4779.89%
600918.SSZhongtai Securities Co., Ltd.2.63%$0.1768.20%
8572.TAcom Co., Ltd.2.63%$13.0038.71%
LIAB.STLindab International AB (publ)2.63%$5.4076.19%
MYOR.JKPT Mayora Indah Tbk2.63%$57.3845.12%
002443.SZZhejiang Kingland Pipeline and Technologies Co.,Ltd.2.62%$0.2164.11%
039490.KSKiwoom Securities Co., Ltd.2.62%$7,904.3320.30%
155660.KSDSR Corp2.62%$100.1511.70%
4263.SRSAL Saudi Logistics Services Co2.62%$4.2355.27%
AFK.OLArendals Fossekompani ASA2.62%$3.525.05%
INSTAL.STInstalco AB (publ)2.62%$0.6865.47%
000048.SZShenzhen Kingkey Smart Agriculture Times Co.,Ltd2.61%$0.4658.98%