Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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CBTX, Inc. (CBTX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.03 - $35.70$29.60
Multi-Stage$45.89 - $50.40$48.10
Blended Fair Value$38.85
Current Price$29.25
Upside32.82%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-35.59%0.00%0.040.050.010.490.410.360.200.180.180.18
YoY Growth---20.67%768.09%-98.83%21.11%13.76%75.88%12.85%0.37%-2.04%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.14%0.17%0.02%1.59%1.33%2.01%0.62%0.61%0.63%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)72.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.599.125.47
Cash Retained (M)33.1533.1533.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.59-9.12-5.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.5624.0327.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.4624.4624.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.760.981.13
LTM Dividend per Share1.631.631.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.760.981.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.392.612.76
WACC / Discount Rate7.73%7.73%7.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$24.03$29.60$35.70
Upside / Downside-17.83%1.20%22.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)72.9472.2171.4970.7770.0669.3671.44
Payout Ratio54.55%61.64%68.73%75.82%82.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.7944.5149.1353.6658.0962.4366.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.73%7.73%7.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)40.9041.3241.73
Year 2 PV (M)41.4942.3443.20
Year 3 PV (M)41.6342.9244.24
Year 4 PV (M)41.4243.1344.90
Year 5 PV (M)40.9043.0345.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)916.31964.031,013.71
Equity Value (M)1,122.651,176.771,233.03
Shares Outstanding (M)24.4624.4624.46
Fair Value$45.89$48.10$50.40
Upside / Downside56.89%64.45%72.31%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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