Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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PT Bank Pembangunan Daerah Jawa Timur Tbk (BJTM.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,367.50 - $2,555.81$1,852.33
Multi-Stage$1,963.77 - $2,152.48$2,056.34
Blended Fair Value$1,954.34
Current Price$500.00
Upside290.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.61%3.03%54.3953.0952.1148.8548.2045.5443.9843.4442.7241.59
YoY Growth--2.45%1.88%6.67%1.35%5.83%3.56%1.25%1.67%2.72%3.07%
Dividend Yield--10.88%8.85%7.09%6.18%6.14%10.40%6.71%6.89%6.19%8.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,368,464.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)821,498.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)546,966.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)273,692.80171,058.00102,634.80
Cash Retained (M)546,966.00546,966.00546,966.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-273,692.80-171,058.00-102,634.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)273,273.20375,908.00444,331.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15,015.5015,015.5015,015.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share18.2025.0329.59
LTM Dividend per Share54.7154.7154.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share18.2025.0329.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend72.9179.7484.30
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate1.61%2.61%3.61%
Fair Value$1,367.50$1,852.33$2,555.81
Upside / Downside173.50%270.47%411.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,368,464.001,404,233.201,440,937.351,478,600.881,517,248.871,556,907.041,603,614.25
Payout Ratio60.03%66.02%72.02%78.01%84.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)821,498.00927,138.371,037,739.991,153,490.041,274,582.091,401,216.341,483,343.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate1.61%2.61%3.61%
Year 1 PV (M)857,788.26866,229.91874,671.56
Year 2 PV (M)888,299.95905,869.82923,611.75
Year 3 PV (M)913,525.08940,761.87968,534.73
Year 4 PV (M)933,920.66971,230.451,009,647.12
Year 5 PV (M)949,910.98997,581.281,047,146.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,943,583.0926,195,351.1427,496,877.22
Equity Value (M)29,487,028.0130,877,024.4732,320,488.86
Shares Outstanding (M)15,015.5015,015.5015,015.50
Fair Value$1,963.77$2,056.34$2,152.48
Upside / Downside292.75%311.27%330.50%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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