Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Bank Pembangunan Daerah Jawa Barat dan Banten Tbk (BJBR.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,230.01 - $2,138.69$1,619.22
Multi-Stage$2,017.16 - $2,209.39$2,111.46
Blended Fair Value$1,865.34
Current Price$765.00
Upside143.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.60%2.82%95.05104.5599.1189.5387.9283.6083.2282.0278.1565.98
YoY Growth---9.09%5.49%10.70%1.83%5.17%0.46%1.46%4.95%18.44%-8.32%
Dividend Yield--11.45%8.64%7.29%5.87%6.06%11.41%4.13%3.99%3.88%6.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)997,156.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)896,953.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)100,203.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)199,431.20124,644.5074,786.70
Cash Retained (M)100,203.00100,203.00100,203.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-199,431.20-124,644.50-74,786.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)-99,228.20-24,441.5025,416.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10,521.4410,521.4410,521.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share-9.43-2.322.42
LTM Dividend per Share85.2585.2585.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share-9.43-2.322.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend75.8282.9387.67
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate0.82%1.82%2.82%
Fair Value$1,230.01$1,619.22$2,138.69
Upside / Downside60.79%111.66%179.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)997,156.001,015,303.171,033,780.591,052,594.281,071,750.361,091,255.071,123,992.72
Payout Ratio89.95%89.96%89.97%89.98%89.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)896,953.00913,375.83930,099.35947,129.06964,470.56982,129.561,039,693.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate0.82%1.82%2.82%
Year 1 PV (M)844,966.11853,347.06861,728.00
Year 2 PV (M)795,992.34811,861.03827,886.35
Year 3 PV (M)749,857.06772,391.87795,373.70
Year 4 PV (M)706,395.74734,841.52764,137.89
Year 5 PV (M)665,453.41699,116.70734,128.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,460,770.2418,344,058.1519,262,736.10
Equity Value (M)21,223,434.8922,215,616.3223,245,990.78
Shares Outstanding (M)10,521.4410,521.4410,521.44
Fair Value$2,017.16$2,111.46$2,209.39
Upside / Downside163.68%176.01%188.81%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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