Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Banco do Brasil S.A. (BBAS3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$123.55 - $446.75$391.64
Multi-Stage$58.43 - $63.83$61.08
Blended Fair Value$226.36
Current Price$22.09
Upside924.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS51.19%31.41%2.602.272.071.130.740.330.000.000.000.27
YoY Growth--14.42%9.71%82.96%53.71%123.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%60.80%
Dividend Yield--9.21%8.29%10.89%6.62%4.75%2.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,824.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,774.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,049.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,564.911,603.07961.84
Cash Retained (M)3,049.803,049.803,049.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,564.91-1,603.07-961.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)484.891,446.732,087.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,708.945,708.945,708.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.250.37
LTM Dividend per Share1.711.711.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.250.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.801.972.08
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$123.55$391.64$446.75
Upside / Downside459.33%1,672.94%1,922.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,824.5613,658.1514,545.9315,491.4216,498.3617,570.7618,097.88
Payout Ratio76.22%78.98%81.73%84.49%87.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,774.7610,786.5611,888.6013,088.3314,393.8015,813.6816,740.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9,983.0210,077.6510,172.27
Year 2 PV (M)10,183.3110,377.2710,573.06
Year 3 PV (M)10,375.8010,673.6510,977.15
Year 4 PV (M)10,560.6710,966.8111,384.54
Year 5 PV (M)10,738.1211,256.7711,795.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)281,756.44295,365.38309,495.17
Equity Value (M)333,597.35348,717.52364,397.47
Shares Outstanding (M)5,708.945,708.945,708.94
Fair Value$58.43$61.08$63.83
Upside / Downside164.53%176.52%188.95%

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