Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Blue Cap AG (B7E.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.80 - $29.51$24.42
Multi-Stage$41.67 - $45.85$43.72
Blended Fair Value$34.07
Current Price$17.60
Upside93.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.47%43.82%0.650.440.560.890.670.670.890.010.020.01
YoY Growth--46.75%-20.24%-37.67%33.90%0.00%-25.00%7,409.43%-47.00%233.33%-61.04%
Dividend Yield--4.11%2.51%2.25%2.89%3.76%3.98%5.71%0.07%0.24%0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.181.360.82
Cash Retained (M)5.975.975.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.18-1.36-0.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.804.615.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.474.474.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.851.031.15
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.851.031.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.952.132.25
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.47%-1.47%-0.47%
Fair Value$19.80$24.42$29.51
Upside / Downside12.49%38.76%67.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10.8810.7210.5610.4010.2510.1010.40
Payout Ratio45.09%54.07%63.05%72.03%81.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.905.796.667.498.309.099.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.47%-1.47%-0.47%
Year 1 PV (M)5.355.415.46
Year 2 PV (M)5.685.805.92
Year 3 PV (M)5.916.106.28
Year 4 PV (M)6.056.316.57
Year 5 PV (M)6.126.446.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)157.04165.26173.81
Equity Value (M)186.16195.31204.82
Shares Outstanding (M)4.474.474.47
Fair Value$41.67$43.72$45.85
Upside / Downside136.77%148.40%160.49%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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