Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Eco World Development Group Berhad (8206.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.32 - $23.31$21.84
Multi-Stage$5.27 - $5.78$5.52
Blended Fair Value$13.68
Current Price$1.88
Upside627.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%57.36%0.060.060.050.040.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.10%20.00%25.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.21%4.25%6.77%4.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)374.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)206.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)167.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)74.8146.7528.05
Cash Retained (M)167.30167.30167.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-74.81-46.75-28.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)92.49120.55139.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,151.373,151.373,151.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.11
WACC / Discount Rate5.22%5.22%5.22%
Growth Rate4.16%5.16%6.16%
Fair Value$9.32$21.84$23.31
Upside / Downside395.75%1,061.86%1,139.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)374.04393.34413.65435.00457.45481.06495.49
Payout Ratio55.27%62.22%69.16%76.11%83.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)206.74244.73286.09331.07379.93432.96458.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.22%5.22%5.22%
Growth Rate4.16%5.16%6.16%
Year 1 PV (M)230.37232.58234.79
Year 2 PV (M)253.50258.39263.33
Year 3 PV (M)276.15284.18292.36
Year 4 PV (M)298.31309.93321.89
Year 5 PV (M)320.00335.66351.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,240.0615,985.8016,760.45
Equity Value (M)16,618.3917,406.5418,224.75
Shares Outstanding (M)3,151.373,151.373,151.37
Fair Value$5.27$5.52$5.78
Upside / Downside180.50%193.80%207.61%

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