Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Greenyn Biotechnology Co., Ltd (6846.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$92.46 - $195.52$131.13
Multi-Stage$86.95 - $94.91$90.86
Blended Fair Value$110.99
Current Price$78.30
Upside41.75%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS57.24%0.00%3.293.337.001.691.050.340.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---1.36%-52.44%314.47%61.00%207.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.13%4.17%6.20%2.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)143.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)97.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)46.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.6817.9210.75
Cash Retained (M)46.2546.2546.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.68-17.92-10.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)17.5728.3235.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.5828.5828.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.610.991.24
LTM Dividend per Share3.403.403.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.610.991.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.014.394.64
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate4.08%5.08%6.08%
Fair Value$92.46$131.13$195.52
Upside / Downside18.09%67.47%149.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)143.39150.67158.31166.35174.79183.67189.18
Payout Ratio67.75%72.20%76.65%81.10%85.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)97.14108.78121.34134.91149.53165.30174.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate4.08%5.08%6.08%
Year 1 PV (M)99.22100.17101.12
Year 2 PV (M)100.95102.90104.87
Year 3 PV (M)102.37105.35108.38
Year 4 PV (M)103.49107.53111.68
Year 5 PV (M)104.35109.46114.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,974.822,071.542,172.01
Equity Value (M)2,485.202,596.942,712.83
Shares Outstanding (M)28.5828.5828.58
Fair Value$86.95$90.86$94.91
Upside / Downside11.05%16.04%21.22%

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