Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Foster Electric Company, Limited (6794.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,753.60 - $2,697.35$2,192.92
Multi-Stage$2,331.19 - $2,552.36$2,439.70
Blended Fair Value$2,316.31
Current Price$2,338.00
Upside-0.93%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.86%0.50%35.1120.029.9915.0025.5230.5051.6851.9547.9263.45
YoY Growth--75.39%100.45%-33.43%-41.23%-16.30%-40.99%-0.52%8.41%-24.49%89.95%
Dividend Yield--2.23%1.17%1.07%2.05%2.62%2.90%3.22%3.26%2.47%3.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,159.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,568.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,591.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)831.80519.88311.93
Cash Retained (M)2,591.002,591.002,591.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-831.80-519.88-311.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,759.202,071.132,279.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.3322.3322.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share78.7892.75102.06
LTM Dividend per Share70.2270.2270.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share78.7892.75102.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend148.99162.96172.27
WACC / Discount Rate9.43%9.43%9.43%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Fair Value$1,753.60$2,192.92$2,697.35
Upside / Downside-25.00%-6.21%15.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,159.004,236.234,314.904,395.034,476.644,559.774,696.56
Payout Ratio37.70%48.16%58.62%69.08%79.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,568.002,040.222,529.433,036.113,560.734,103.794,344.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.43%9.43%9.43%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Year 1 PV (M)1,846.161,864.471,882.77
Year 2 PV (M)2,071.142,112.422,154.10
Year 3 PV (M)2,249.562,317.142,386.06
Year 4 PV (M)2,387.342,483.442,582.41
Year 5 PV (M)2,489.742,615.642,746.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)41,014.1443,088.1445,245.21
Equity Value (M)52,058.0854,481.2556,997.14
Shares Outstanding (M)22.3322.3322.33
Fair Value$2,331.19$2,439.70$2,552.36
Upside / Downside-0.29%4.35%9.17%

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