Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Pegavision Corporation (6491.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$563.79 - $1,922.81$925.33
Multi-Stage$373.90 - $408.07$390.68
Blended Fair Value$658.00
Current Price$319.50
Upside105.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS54.02%0.00%9.908.987.554.442.221.140.000.760.000.00
YoY Growth--10.25%18.91%70.00%100.00%94.44%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.76%1.88%1.87%0.89%0.59%1.17%0.00%0.40%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,607.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)865.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)742.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)321.55200.97120.58
Cash Retained (M)742.43742.43742.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-321.55-200.97-120.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)420.88541.46621.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)78.7778.7778.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.346.877.89
LTM Dividend per Share10.9910.9910.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.346.877.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.3317.8618.88
WACC / Discount Rate8.56%8.56%8.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$563.79$925.33$1,922.81
Upside / Downside76.46%189.62%501.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,607.771,712.281,823.581,942.112,068.352,202.792,268.87
Payout Ratio53.82%61.06%68.29%75.53%82.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)865.341,045.481,245.381,466.851,711.861,982.512,098.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.56%8.56%8.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)954.04963.08972.13
Year 2 PV (M)1,037.061,056.811,076.75
Year 3 PV (M)1,114.651,146.651,179.25
Year 4 PV (M)1,187.051,232.701,279.66
Year 5 PV (M)1,254.501,315.091,378.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,904.4425,059.0326,257.82
Equity Value (M)29,451.7530,773.3832,143.61
Shares Outstanding (M)78.7778.7778.77
Fair Value$373.90$390.68$408.07
Upside / Downside17.03%22.28%27.72%

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