Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

China Testing & Certification International Group Co.,Ltd. (603060.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consulting ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.61 - $42.92$28.09
Multi-Stage$5.32 - $5.82$5.56
Blended Fair Value$16.83
Current Price$6.40
Upside162.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.41%18.95%0.160.150.090.090.080.070.060.040.150.03
YoY Growth--6.45%61.05%0.63%20.90%6.99%24.19%30.65%-70.74%435.24%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.35%1.98%0.81%0.86%0.57%0.93%0.78%0.73%1.73%0.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)173.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)114.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)59.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.7221.7013.02
Cash Retained (M)59.2559.2559.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.72-21.70-13.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)24.5337.5546.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)804.39804.39804.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.190.20
WACC / Discount Rate7.22%7.22%7.22%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$10.61$28.09$42.92
Upside / Downside65.84%338.87%570.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)173.58184.86196.88209.68223.31237.82244.96
Payout Ratio65.87%70.69%75.52%80.35%85.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)114.33130.69148.68168.47190.20214.04226.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.22%7.22%7.22%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)120.75121.89123.03
Year 2 PV (M)126.93129.34131.78
Year 3 PV (M)132.88136.69140.58
Year 4 PV (M)138.60143.94149.42
Year 5 PV (M)144.12151.08158.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,618.703,793.483,974.95
Equity Value (M)4,281.964,476.424,678.07
Shares Outstanding (M)804.39804.39804.39
Fair Value$5.32$5.56$5.82
Upside / Downside-16.82%-13.05%-9.13%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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