Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sekisui Jushi Corporation (4212.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$807.37 - $1,148.66$975.31
Multi-Stage$1,188.58 - $1,299.12$1,242.81
Blended Fair Value$1,109.06
Current Price$2,165.00
Upside-48.77%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-0.76%4.86%69.1476.4885.4980.1671.4471.8364.5658.7753.0950.24
YoY Growth---9.59%-10.54%6.65%12.21%-0.54%11.26%9.84%10.71%5.66%16.74%
Dividend Yield--3.51%3.40%3.74%4.75%3.39%3.33%2.99%2.53%2.58%3.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,698.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,192.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,506.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)739.60462.25277.35
Cash Retained (M)1,506.001,506.001,506.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-739.60-462.25-277.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)766.401,043.751,228.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.9530.9530.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share24.7633.7239.70
LTM Dividend per Share70.8370.8370.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share24.7633.7239.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend95.59104.55110.52
WACC / Discount Rate10.58%10.58%10.58%
Growth Rate-1.13%-0.13%0.87%
Fair Value$807.37$975.31$1,148.66
Upside / Downside-62.71%-54.95%-46.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,698.003,693.303,688.603,683.923,679.233,674.563,784.79
Payout Ratio59.28%65.42%71.57%77.71%83.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,192.002,416.162,639.762,862.783,085.223,307.103,500.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.58%10.58%10.58%
Growth Rate-1.13%-0.13%0.87%
Year 1 PV (M)2,163.142,185.022,206.89
Year 2 PV (M)2,115.822,158.842,202.28
Year 3 PV (M)2,054.282,117.242,181.48
Year 4 PV (M)1,982.062,063.472,147.36
Year 5 PV (M)1,902.112,000.262,102.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,568.5227,939.5429,366.59
Equity Value (M)36,785.9238,464.3740,207.04
Shares Outstanding (M)30.9530.9530.95
Fair Value$1,188.58$1,242.81$1,299.12
Upside / Downside-45.10%-42.60%-39.99%

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