Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Yealink Network Technology Co., Ltd. (300628.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$52.52 - $162.76$84.03
Multi-Stage$36.03 - $39.30$37.64
Blended Fair Value$60.83
Current Price$37.00
Upside64.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS39.42%35.46%1.501.420.570.460.430.280.190.110.060.09
YoY Growth--5.07%149.58%23.04%8.80%50.08%50.43%77.78%92.01%-36.87%21.85%
Dividend Yield--3.66%5.17%1.05%0.83%0.88%0.73%0.79%0.70%0.28%1.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,541.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,641.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)900.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)508.27317.67190.60
Cash Retained (M)900.14900.14900.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-508.27-317.67-190.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)391.87582.47709.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,265.721,265.721,265.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.460.56
LTM Dividend per Share1.301.301.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.460.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.611.761.86
WACC / Discount Rate8.73%8.73%8.73%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$52.52$84.03$162.76
Upside / Downside41.94%127.10%339.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,541.342,706.532,882.453,069.813,269.353,481.853,586.31
Payout Ratio64.58%69.66%74.75%79.83%84.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,641.201,885.482,154.582,450.692,776.203,133.673,317.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.73%8.73%8.73%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,717.861,734.141,750.43
Year 2 PV (M)1,788.521,822.591,856.98
Year 3 PV (M)1,853.481,906.691,960.90
Year 4 PV (M)1,913.011,986.582,062.25
Year 5 PV (M)1,967.372,062.402,161.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)36,367.8938,124.4739,948.28
Equity Value (M)45,608.1347,636.8749,739.90
Shares Outstanding (M)1,265.721,265.721,265.72
Fair Value$36.03$37.64$39.30
Upside / Downside-2.61%1.72%6.21%

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