Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Instone Real Estate Group SE (0ZQ7.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - GeneralSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.61 - $8.57$7.00
Multi-Stage$12.36 - $13.58$12.96
Blended Fair Value$9.98
Current Price$9.65
Upside3.39%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.330.350.660.280.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---5.72%-47.26%135.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.12%4.16%12.89%1.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)27.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.463.412.05
Cash Retained (M)5.655.655.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.46-3.41-2.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.192.243.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.3243.3243.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.050.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.050.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.500.550.58
WACC / Discount Rate6.80%6.80%6.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.61$7.00$8.57
Upside / Downside-41.83%-27.49%-11.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)27.3127.0426.7726.5026.2325.9726.75
Payout Ratio79.32%81.45%83.59%85.73%87.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.6622.0222.3722.7223.0523.3724.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.80%6.80%6.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)20.4120.6220.83
Year 2 PV (M)19.2219.6120.01
Year 3 PV (M)18.0918.6519.22
Year 4 PV (M)17.0117.7118.44
Year 5 PV (M)15.9916.8217.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)444.81467.97492.08
Equity Value (M)535.52561.38588.27
Shares Outstanding (M)43.3243.3243.32
Fair Value$12.36$12.96$13.58
Upside / Downside28.09%34.28%40.71%

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