Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hang Lung Properties Limited (0101.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.80 - $5.04$4.45
Multi-Stage$12.85 - $14.26$13.54
Blended Fair Value$8.99
Current Price$7.49
Upside20.06%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-19.17%-10.07%0.250.760.760.750.740.730.730.730.730.73
YoY Growth---66.83%0.00%1.33%1.32%1.30%0.00%0.03%0.00%-1.11%1.40%
Dividend Yield--4.02%6.97%4.95%4.65%3.60%4.25%4.87%3.82%4.42%4.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,641.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,540.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,101.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)928.20580.13348.08
Cash Retained (M)2,101.002,101.002,101.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-928.20-580.13-348.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,172.801,520.881,752.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,643.674,643.674,643.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.330.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.550.550.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.330.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.800.870.92
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-12.07%-11.07%-10.07%
Fair Value$3.80$4.45$5.04
Upside / Downside-49.24%-40.65%-32.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,641.004,127.293,670.443,264.162,902.862,581.542,658.99
Payout Ratio54.73%61.78%68.84%75.89%82.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,540.002,549.992,526.652,477.232,407.802,323.392,459.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-12.07%-11.07%-10.07%
Year 1 PV (M)2,369.122,396.062,423.00
Year 2 PV (M)2,180.922,230.812,281.26
Year 3 PV (M)1,986.602,055.152,125.26
Year 4 PV (M)1,793.951,876.961,962.82
Year 5 PV (M)1,608.271,701.821,799.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)49,717.0752,609.1555,634.29
Equity Value (M)59,655.9262,869.9566,226.31
Shares Outstanding (M)4,643.674,643.674,643.67
Fair Value$12.85$13.54$14.26
Upside / Downside71.52%80.76%90.41%

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