Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $431,535.20 - $508,421.58 | $476,465.47 |
| Multi-Stage | $114,745.64 - $125,764.59 | $120,153.06 |
| Blended Fair Value | $298,309.27 | |
| Current Price | $22,750.00 | |
| Upside | 1,211.25% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 61.60% | 34.78% | 750.30 | 760.65 | 12.30 | 49.02 | 164.49 | 68.09 | 181.97 | 90.67 | 62.93 | 37.91 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -1.36% | 6,085.63% | -74.91% | -70.20% | 141.57% | -62.58% | 100.70% | 44.08% | 66.00% | -0.03% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.52% | 3.45% | 0.05% | 0.16% | 0.60% | 0.54% | 0.82% | 0.40% | 0.29% | 0.19% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 948,002.04 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 281,569.10 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 666,432.94 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 189,600.41 | 118,500.25 | 71,100.15 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 666,432.94 | 666,432.94 | 666,432.94 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -189,600.41 | -118,500.25 | -71,100.15 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 476,832.54 | 547,932.69 | 595,332.79 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 370.82 | 370.82 | 370.82 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 1,285.88 | 1,477.62 | 1,605.44 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 759.31 | 759.31 | 759.31 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 1,285.88 | 1,477.62 | 1,605.44 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 2,045.19 | 2,236.93 | 2,364.75 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 5.31% | 5.31% | 5.31% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $431,535.20 | $476,465.47 | $508,421.58 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,796.86% | 1,994.35% | 2,134.82% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 948,002.04 | 1,009,622.17 | 1,075,247.61 | 1,145,138.71 | 1,219,572.72 | 1,298,844.95 | 1,337,810.30 |
| Payout Ratio | 29.70% | 41.76% | 53.82% | 65.88% | 77.94% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 281,569.10 | 421,628.86 | 578,706.76 | 754,423.42 | 950,538.19 | 1,168,960.46 | 1,237,474.53 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 5.31% | 5.31% | 5.31% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 396,600.91 | 400,360.16 | 404,119.42 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 512,041.69 | 521,794.64 | 531,639.61 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 627,892.51 | 645,917.05 | 664,283.27 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 744,154.47 | 772,772.55 | 802,208.23 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 860,828.68 | 902,407.02 | 945,576.67 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 39,408,691.10 | 41,312,145.61 | 43,288,449.81 |
| Equity Value (M) | 42,550,209.36 | 44,555,397.05 | 46,636,277.01 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 370.82 | 370.82 | 370.82 |
| Fair Value | $114,745.64 | $120,153.06 | $125,764.59 |
| Upside / Downside | 404.38% | 428.15% | 452.81% |
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| 3123.T | Saibo Co., Ltd. | 2.68% | $16.14 | 26.87% |
| 9057.T | Enshu Truck Co.,Ltd. | 2.68% | $96.08 | 31.06% |
| CHC.AX | Charter Hall Group | 2.68% | $0.65 | 53.83% |
| IFT.AX | Infratil Limited | 2.68% | $0.26 | 47.86% |
| KRZ.IR | Kerry Group plc | 2.68% | $2.04 | 27.68% |
| MGH.AX | MAAS Group Holdings Limited | 2.68% | $0.15 | 37.02% |
| NOA | North American Construction Group Ltd. | 2.68% | $0.39 | 32.95% |
| U06.SI | Singapore Land Group Limited | 2.68% | $0.09 | 24.45% |
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| 000830.SZ | Luxi Chemical Group Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $0.44 | 57.18% |
| 005820.KS | Wonlim Corporation | 2.67% | $399.88 | 22.01% |
| 007980.KS | TP Inc. | 2.67% | $51.62 | 7.46% |
| 049800.KS | Woojin Plaimm Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $50.67 | 26.03% |
| 300009.SZ | Anhui Anke Biotechnology (Group) Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $0.26 | 62.51% |
| 6220.TWO | YFC-Boneagle Electric Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $0.69 | 89.25% |
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