Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Qingdao Sentury Tire Co., Ltd. (002984.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.01 - $78.89$46.80
Multi-Stage$21.80 - $23.80$22.78
Blended Fair Value$34.79
Current Price$19.24
Upside80.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS35.99%0.00%0.500.010.110.130.060.110.120.110.070.05
YoY Growth--4,804.02%-90.97%-15.50%106.33%-39.77%-11.29%10.09%64.30%21.94%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.06%0.04%0.50%0.62%0.27%0.55%0.62%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,475.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)540.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)935.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)295.12184.45110.67
Cash Retained (M)935.07935.07935.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-295.12-184.45-110.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)639.95750.62824.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,078.271,078.271,078.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.590.700.76
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.590.700.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.091.201.27
WACC / Discount Rate9.22%9.22%9.22%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$31.01$46.80$78.89
Upside / Downside61.16%143.24%310.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,475.591,571.501,673.651,782.431,898.292,021.682,082.33
Payout Ratio36.63%47.30%57.98%68.65%79.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)540.52743.39970.361,223.681,505.841,819.511,926.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.22%9.22%9.22%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)674.22680.61687.00
Year 2 PV (M)798.17813.37828.71
Year 3 PV (M)912.88939.08965.78
Year 4 PV (M)1,018.841,058.021,098.32
Year 5 PV (M)1,116.511,170.431,226.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,987.3819,904.4820,856.68
Equity Value (M)23,507.9924,565.9925,662.92
Shares Outstanding (M)1,078.271,078.271,078.27
Fair Value$21.80$22.78$23.80
Upside / Downside13.31%18.41%23.70%

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