Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Hangzhou Robam Appliances Co., Ltd. (002508.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$273.83 - $322.62$302.34
Multi-Stage$83.18 - $91.18$87.11
Blended Fair Value$194.72
Current Price$19.08
Upside920.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.32%27.20%1.500.500.500.500.500.800.750.390.310.17
YoY Growth--198.78%0.49%-0.17%-0.23%-37.50%6.67%95.00%24.99%80.23%26.58%
Dividend Yield--6.62%2.05%1.76%1.72%1.38%2.83%2.15%1.05%0.81%0.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,532.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)473.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,058.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)306.51191.57114.94
Cash Retained (M)1,058.881,058.881,058.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-306.51-191.57-114.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)752.37867.32943.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)944.72944.72944.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.800.921.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.800.921.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.301.421.50
WACC / Discount Rate5.03%5.03%5.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$273.83$302.34$322.62
Upside / Downside1,335.17%1,484.59%1,590.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,532.551,632.161,738.251,851.241,971.572,099.722,162.71
Payout Ratio30.91%42.73%54.54%66.36%78.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)473.66697.35948.111,228.531,541.401,889.752,000.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.03%5.03%5.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)657.70663.93670.17
Year 2 PV (M)843.36859.42875.64
Year 3 PV (M)1,030.651,060.241,090.39
Year 4 PV (M)1,219.601,266.501,314.74
Year 5 PV (M)1,410.201,478.321,549.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)73,416.7676,962.8180,644.59
Equity Value (M)78,578.2782,291.2286,144.56
Shares Outstanding (M)944.72944.72944.72
Fair Value$83.18$87.11$91.18
Upside / Downside335.93%356.53%377.91%

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