Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shenzhen Yan Tian Port Holdings Co.,Ltd. (000088.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.39 - $11.97$7.78
Multi-Stage$4.05 - $4.42$4.23
Blended Fair Value$6.01
Current Price$4.43
Upside35.56%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS43.47%26.15%0.170.050.040.010.020.030.020.020.030.03
YoY Growth--257.53%9.48%471.44%-67.67%-15.94%18.40%29.05%-25.95%-6.51%58.73%
Dividend Yield--3.67%1.02%0.88%0.15%0.40%0.70%0.38%0.28%0.35%0.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,416.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)755.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)660.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)283.24177.03106.22
Cash Retained (M)660.57660.57660.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-283.24-177.03-106.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)377.33483.54554.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,199.485,199.485,199.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.220.240.25
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5.39$7.78$11.97
Upside / Downside21.72%75.58%170.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,416.201,508.261,606.291,710.701,821.901,940.321,998.53
Payout Ratio53.36%60.69%68.01%75.34%82.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)755.63915.291,092.501,288.891,506.191,746.291,848.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)826.04833.87841.70
Year 2 PV (M)889.85906.79923.90
Year 3 PV (M)947.44974.641,002.35
Year 4 PV (M)999.231,037.651,077.18
Year 5 PV (M)1,045.561,096.061,148.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,365.6117,156.0717,976.79
Equity Value (M)21,073.7222,005.0922,970.42
Shares Outstanding (M)5,199.485,199.485,199.48
Fair Value$4.05$4.23$4.42
Upside / Downside-8.51%-4.47%-0.27%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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