DDM Analysis: ITRN

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$93.78 - $528.35	$171.28
Multi-Stage	$72.88 - $79.73	$76.24
Blended Fair Value	$123.76
Current Price	$35.72
Upside	246.48%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	7.16%	3.80%	1.41	0.58	0.58	0.79	0.50	1.00	1.02	1.14	0.86	0.88
YoY Growth	-	-	142.63%	0.84%	-27.48%	58.61%	-49.78%	-1.83%	-10.71%	32.52%	-2.85%	-8.97%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.90%	2.08%	2.65%	3.45%	2.36%	7.02%	2.88%	3.68%	2.78%	4.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	56.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	36.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)	19.94

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	11.31	7.07	4.24
Cash Retained (M)	19.94	19.94	19.94
(-) Cash Required (M)	-11.31	-7.07	-4.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)	8.63	12.87	15.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	19.89	19.89	19.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.43	0.65	0.79
LTM Dividend per Share	1.84	1.84	1.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.43	0.65	0.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.27	2.49	2.63
WACC / Discount Rate	6.85%	6.85%	6.85%
Growth Rate	4.32%	5.32%	6.32%
Fair Value	$93.78	$171.28	$528.35
Upside / Downside	162.54%	379.51%	1,379.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	56.53	59.54	62.71	66.05	69.56	73.26	75.46
Payout Ratio	64.72%	69.78%	74.83%	79.89%	84.94%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	36.59	41.55	46.93	52.76	59.09	65.94	69.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.85%	6.85%	6.85%
Growth Rate	4.32%	5.32%	6.32%
Year 1 PV (M)	38.51	38.88	39.25
Year 2 PV (M)	40.32	41.10	41.88
Year 3 PV (M)	42.03	43.25	44.49
Year 4 PV (M)	43.63	45.33	47.07
Year 5 PV (M)	45.13	47.34	49.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,240.17	1,300.76	1,363.69
Equity Value (M)	1,449.80	1,516.66	1,586.02
Shares Outstanding (M)	19.89	19.89	19.89
Fair Value	$72.88	$76.24	$79.73
Upside / Downside	104.03%	113.44%	123.20%

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Ituran Location and Control Ltd. (ITRN)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener