DDM Analysis: 600007.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$36.81 - $175.92	$65.21
Multi-Stage	$33.90 - $37.08	$35.46
Blended Fair Value	$50.34
Current Price	$20.36
Upside	147.23%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	24.77%	14.08%	1.36	0.77	0.70	0.51	0.50	0.45	0.48	0.46	0.35	0.39
YoY Growth	-	-	76.00%	10.72%	35.67%	3.20%	10.82%	-7.47%	6.06%	29.10%	-9.20%	7.29%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.90%	3.08%	4.08%	3.17%	4.13%	3.40%	3.23%	3.20%	1.77%	2.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,184.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,133.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)	50.72

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	236.82	148.01	88.81
Cash Retained (M)	50.72	50.72	50.72
(-) Cash Required (M)	-236.82	-148.01	-88.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-186.10	-97.29	-38.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,006.06	1,006.06	1,006.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.18	-0.10	-0.04
LTM Dividend per Share	1.13	1.13	1.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.18	-0.10	-0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.94	1.03	1.09
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	3.77%	4.77%	5.77%
Fair Value	$36.81	$65.21	$175.92
Upside / Downside	80.78%	220.29%	764.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,184.11	1,240.59	1,299.77	1,361.77	1,426.73	1,494.79	1,539.63
Payout Ratio	95.72%	94.57%	93.43%	92.29%	91.14%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,133.38	1,173.27	1,214.37	1,256.73	1,300.37	1,345.31	1,424.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	3.77%	4.77%	5.77%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,091.91	1,102.44	1,112.96
Year 2 PV (M)	1,051.81	1,072.18	1,092.74
Year 3 PV (M)	1,013.02	1,042.59	1,072.73
Year 4 PV (M)	975.52	1,013.67	1,052.92
Year 5 PV (M)	939.25	985.39	1,033.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)	29,032.43	30,458.54	31,940.14
Equity Value (M)	34,103.95	35,674.80	37,304.82
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,006.06	1,006.06	1,006.06
Fair Value	$33.90	$35.46	$37.08
Upside / Downside	66.50%	74.17%	82.12%

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Fundamentals

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Ticker

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Sector

China World Trade Center Co., Ltd. (600007.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener