Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Southern Copper Corporation (0L8B.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$143.54 - $592.38$246.57
Multi-Stage$92.22 - $100.64$96.35
Blended Fair Value$171.46
Current Price$121.36
Upside41.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.15%15.70%2.043.853.373.081.441.591.350.570.170.34
YoY Growth---47.06%14.29%9.38%113.33%-8.94%17.66%137.29%227.42%-48.64%-28.82%
Dividend Yield--2.23%3.78%4.64%4.27%2.24%5.92%3.52%1.10%0.51%1.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,820.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,303.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,517.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)764.18477.61286.57
Cash Retained (M)1,517.001,517.001,517.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-764.18-477.61-286.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)752.821,039.391,230.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)802.65802.65802.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.941.291.53
LTM Dividend per Share2.872.872.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.941.291.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.814.174.40
WACC / Discount Rate8.30%8.30%8.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$143.54$246.57$592.38
Upside / Downside18.27%103.18%388.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,820.904,069.264,333.764,615.454,915.465,234.965,392.01
Payout Ratio60.30%66.24%72.18%78.12%84.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,303.902,695.393,128.043,605.544,131.914,711.474,987.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.30%8.30%8.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,465.472,488.842,512.21
Year 2 PV (M)2,617.152,667.002,717.32
Year 3 PV (M)2,759.342,838.552,919.26
Year 4 PV (M)2,892.433,003.673,118.08
Year 5 PV (M)3,016.803,162.513,313.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)60,267.4163,178.3566,200.69
Equity Value (M)74,018.6077,338.9180,781.36
Shares Outstanding (M)802.65802.65802.65
Fair Value$92.22$96.35$100.64
Upside / Downside-24.01%-20.60%-17.07%

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