Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Yuhwa Securities co.,ltd. (003460.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12,016.87 - $38,889.03$36,444.72
Multi-Stage$5,328.57 - $5,820.37$5,570.00
Blended Fair Value$21,007.36
Current Price$2,700.00
Upside678.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.82%-1.03%122.33112.34132.32112.34123.86156.62125.51176.52157.17102.40
YoY Growth--8.89%-15.10%17.79%-9.30%-20.92%24.79%-28.90%12.31%53.49%-24.54%
Dividend Yield--5.27%5.02%5.80%4.28%4.87%7.32%4.98%6.07%5.20%3.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,868.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,850.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,018.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,373.651,483.53890.12
Cash Retained (M)2,018.102,018.102,018.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,373.65-1,483.53-890.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)-355.55534.571,127.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)60.6960.6960.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share-5.868.8118.58
LTM Dividend per Share162.29162.29162.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share-5.868.8118.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend156.44171.10180.88
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$12,016.87$36,444.72$38,889.03
Upside / Downside345.07%1,249.80%1,340.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,868.2512,639.6813,461.2614,336.2515,268.1016,260.5316,748.34
Payout Ratio83.00%84.40%85.80%87.20%88.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,850.1510,667.4711,549.4312,500.9713,527.4114,634.4715,492.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9,887.689,981.4110,075.13
Year 2 PV (M)9,922.6310,111.6310,302.41
Year 3 PV (M)9,955.0410,240.8210,532.01
Year 4 PV (M)9,984.9910,368.9810,763.95
Year 5 PV (M)10,012.5210,496.1210,998.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)273,644.60286,861.73300,584.72
Equity Value (M)323,407.46338,060.69353,256.45
Shares Outstanding (M)60.6960.6960.69
Fair Value$5,328.57$5,570.00$5,820.37
Upside / Downside97.35%106.30%115.57%

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