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Definitive Analysis

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REC Limited (RECLTD.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,034.69 - $13,014.55$12,196.54
Multi-Stage$1,857.74 - $2,033.50$1,944.00
Blended Fair Value$7,070.27
Current Price$372.85
Upside1,796.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS20.89%19.27%21.2610.8311.839.148.238.239.537.477.165.50
YoY Growth--96.31%-8.44%29.40%11.00%0.00%-13.64%27.58%4.36%30.17%50.77%
Dividend Yield--5.28%1.97%7.18%9.85%7.39%10.15%7.84%9.52%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)172,669.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)56,087.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)116,582.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34,533.9421,583.7112,950.23
Cash Retained (M)116,582.00116,582.00116,582.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-34,533.94-21,583.71-12,950.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)82,048.0694,998.29103,631.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,638.562,638.562,638.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share31.1036.0039.28
LTM Dividend per Share21.2621.2621.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share31.1036.0039.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend52.3557.2660.53
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,034.69$12,196.54$13,014.55
Upside / Downside1,250.32%3,171.17%3,390.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)172,669.70183,893.23195,846.29208,576.30222,133.76236,572.45243,669.63
Payout Ratio32.48%43.99%55.49%66.99%78.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)56,087.7080,887.50108,674.31139,731.65174,367.29212,915.21225,394.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)75,169.0775,881.5776,594.07
Year 2 PV (M)93,851.7595,639.3697,443.84
Year 3 PV (M)112,141.92115,361.12118,641.33
Year 4 PV (M)130,045.70135,046.89140,190.96
Year 5 PV (M)147,569.09154,696.73162,097.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,342,977.504,552,744.944,770,540.67
Equity Value (M)4,901,755.035,129,370.605,365,508.04
Shares Outstanding (M)2,638.562,638.562,638.56
Fair Value$1,857.74$1,944.00$2,033.50
Upside / Downside398.25%421.39%445.39%

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