Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Klabin S.A. (KLBN11.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Paper, Lumber & Forest ProductsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.33 - $70.32$65.90
Multi-Stage$11.24 - $12.29$11.75
Blended Fair Value$38.83
Current Price$18.04
Upside115.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.30%16.75%0.320.300.340.120.050.200.170.100.090.08
YoY Growth--5.70%-10.94%185.75%160.51%-76.70%13.93%65.68%13.30%18.39%13.84%
Dividend Yield--1.72%1.29%2.10%0.56%0.19%1.41%1.13%0.60%0.71%0.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,719.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,368.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)351.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)343.92214.95128.97
Cash Retained (M)351.01351.01351.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-343.92-214.95-128.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.09136.06222.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,863.244,863.244,863.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.310.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$36.33$65.90$70.32
Upside / Downside101.37%265.30%289.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,719.581,831.351,950.392,077.172,212.182,355.972,426.65
Payout Ratio79.59%81.67%83.75%85.83%87.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,368.571,495.671,633.501,782.941,944.892,120.382,244.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,393.531,406.741,419.95
Year 2 PV (M)1,418.021,445.031,472.29
Year 3 PV (M)1,442.051,483.451,525.63
Year 4 PV (M)1,465.631,521.991,579.96
Year 5 PV (M)1,488.751,560.661,635.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,448.7249,740.5152,120.01
Equity Value (M)54,656.7057,158.3759,753.16
Shares Outstanding (M)4,863.244,863.244,863.24
Fair Value$11.24$11.75$12.29
Upside / Downside-37.70%-34.85%-31.89%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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